Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers: match statistics
Notts County demonstrate significantly better form and statistics at their home ground. The hosts occupy 5th place in the table with an impressive 63% win rate at home, while Tranmere Rovers are in 17th position with just 33% wins away. Notts County have collected 10 points in their last five matches (WWWDL), while the visitors have managed only 3 points (LLLWL), highlighting a huge disparity in current form. A key factor is also the advantage in ball possession (58% vs 48%) and the significantly better goal difference of the hosts at their home ground (goal difference +13 vs 0 for the visitors). Tranmere Rovers concede an average of 1.73 goals per away match, which, given Notts County's efficiency (averaging 1.75 goals in home matches), points to a probable home victory. Moreover, the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, confirming their poor form and reducing the chances of a positive outcome in this encounter.
Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Notts County played Tranmere Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Notts County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Tranmere Rovers: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Notts County scores 1.47 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Tranmere Rovers scores 1.41 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Notts County 59%, Tranmere Rovers 63%. Over 2.5: Notts County 50%, Tranmere Rovers 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Tranmere Rovers has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.30. Notts County: 11.0 shots per match, Tranmere Rovers: 13.0.
Match halves
Notts County: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.84. Tranmere Rovers: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Notts County: 76-90+ (10 goals). Tranmere Rovers: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Notts County demonstrate significantly better form and statistics at their home ground. The hosts occupy 5th place in the table with an impressive 63% win rate at home, while Tranmere Rovers are in 17th position with just 33% wins away. Notts County have collected 10 points in their last five matches (WWWDL), while the visitors have managed only 3 points (LLLWL), highlighting a huge disparity in current form. A key factor is also the advantage in ball possession (58% vs 48%) and the significantly better goal difference of the hosts at their home ground (goal difference +13 vs 0 for the visitors). Tranmere Rovers concede an average of 1.73 goals per away match, which, given Notts County's efficiency (averaging 1.75 goals in home matches), points to a probable home victory. Moreover, the visitors have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, confirming their poor form and reducing the chances of a positive outcome in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Notts County | Tranmere Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Notts County is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Notts County · 0.6 pts / match - Tranmere Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Notts County is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Notts County · 1.63 goals / match - Tranmere Rovers
Notts County scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Tranmere Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Tranmere Rovers scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Notts County
Over / Under - Tranmere Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Notts County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tranmere Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Notts County
Tranmere Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Notts County | Liga | Tranmere Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Notts County 1 - 0 - 0 Tranmere Rovers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Notts County 5:0 Tranmere Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers?
Notts County score 1.47 goals per game on average and Tranmere Rovers 1.41. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Notts County's matches and 63% of Tranmere Rovers's.
What form are Notts County and Tranmere Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Notts County have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Tranmere Rovers 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Notts County vs Tranmere Rovers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.