Novara vs Alcione: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close match with a slight edge towards a draw scenario. Novara is showing solid form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws, no losses), averaging 1.8 points per game, which demonstrates stability. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (53% vs 49%) and a higher average xG at home (1.5 vs 1.32 for the away side). On the other hand, Alcione is characterized by better defense away from home (0.75 goals conceded on average) and also remains undefeated in their last five outings (1 win, 4 draws). Novara's high percentage of home draws (56%) and the defensive solidity of both teams suggest the most likely outcome is a share of the points. The slight xG advantage and better offensive form give the hosts a chance for a win, but Alcione's experience in tough away fixtures makes them a dangerous opponent.
Novara vs Alcione: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara played Alcione in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Novara: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Alcione: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Alcione scores 0.97 and concedes 0.59. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 53%, Alcione 25%. Over 2.5: Novara 25%, Alcione 13%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.27. Novara: 11.2 shots per match, Alcione: 9.9.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.50. Alcione: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Alcione: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close match with a slight edge towards a draw scenario. Novara is showing solid form in their last five matches (2 wins, 3 draws, no losses), averaging 1.8 points per game, which demonstrates stability. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (53% vs 49%) and a higher average xG at home (1.5 vs 1.32 for the away side). On the other hand, Alcione is characterized by better defense away from home (0.75 goals conceded on average) and also remains undefeated in their last five outings (1 win, 4 draws). Novara's high percentage of home draws (56%) and the defensive solidity of both teams suggest the most likely outcome is a share of the points. The slight xG advantage and better offensive form give the hosts a chance for a win, but Alcione's experience in tough away fixtures makes them a dangerous opponent.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Alcione | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novara is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Novara · 1.4 pts / match - Alcione
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Alcione is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Novara · 0.59 goals / match - Alcione
Novara scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Alcione keeps a clean sheet in 47% (15 of 32 matches).
Alcione scores in 63% of matches (20 of 32 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Alcione
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alcione - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Alcione
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Alcione | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.91 | 2.28 | ▼ 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 41% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 30% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 65% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 1 - 0 - 0 Alcione. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Alcione?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 3:0 Alcione. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Alcione?
Novara score 1.00 goals per game on average and Alcione 0.97. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 25% of Alcione's.
What form are Novara and Alcione in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Alcione 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Alcione?
The statistical background for Novara vs Alcione — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.