Italy - Serie C Group AStadio Comunale Silvio PiolaData current as of 19 September 2026

Novara vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Novara vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Novara play Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola.

Current form

Novara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Novara scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 1.60 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Novara 40%, Athletic Carpi 80%. Over 2.5: Novara 40%, Athletic Carpi 80%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.40. Novara: 12.8 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 10.2.

Match halves

Novara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 0.20.

Goals by minute

Novara: 46-60 (2 goals). Athletic Carpi: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.8Goals scored / match1.6
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1Goals conceded / match2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
38%Average possession45%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
3.2Shots on target / match4.8
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.8Shots per match10.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
3.2Shots on target4.8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
6.3%Shot conversion15.7%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
38%Possession45%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.4xG for1.48
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.53xG against1.99
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedAthletic Carpi: Counter-attacking
NovaraAthletic Carpi
Accuracy (shots on target)25%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Novara
LDWLD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Athletic Carpi
LDWLD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 away
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Athletic Carpi is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - Novara · 1.6 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Novara is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Novara · 2 goals / match - Athletic Carpi

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Athletic Carpi scoring profile: very strong

Athletic Carpi scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

4Goals scored (season)8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
5Goals conceded (season)10
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.8Average goals in match3.6
NovaraAthletic Carpi
4Goals scored (last 5)8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
NovaraAthletic Carpi

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal100%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%2 goals40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%3 goals20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
20%2 goals80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%3 goals40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%4 goals0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time60%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%BTTS in both halves20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Scored in both halves20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%BTTS - last 580%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time60%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Athletic Carpi is 500% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.4 pts / match - Novara · 2.4 pts / match - Athletic Carpi

Novara - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing
Athletic Carpi - half-time state
80% leading0% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.4Points per match (1st half)2.4
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0Goals scored (1st half)1.4
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.6Average goals (1st half)2.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
40%Clean sheet before half-time40%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
100%No goal before half-time0%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)0.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.8Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
NovaraAthletic Carpi
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1.4
NovaraAthletic Carpi
60%Clean sheet after half-time20%
NovaraAthletic Carpi
60%No goal after half-time80%
NovaraAthletic Carpi

Novara - second-half results

40% W60% D0% L
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Athletic Carpi - second-half results

0% W20% D80% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding25%

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.80
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Athletic Carpi - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.400.20
Goals scored / match1.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match2.21.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal0%80%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Novara
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Athletic Carpi
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
6
0
16-30
1
2
31-45
0
3
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.60
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
67%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Athletic Carpi

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
167%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaAthletic Carpi
Average goals in match 1.802.16 3.60
Both teams scored 40%50% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%46% 80%
Clean sheets 20%34% 20%
Goal before half-time 60%58% 100%
Goal after half-time 40%64% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.20
Home goals / match
0.96
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Novara and Athletic Carpi play?

Novara face Athletic Carpi on 20 September 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Athletic Carpi?

Novara score 0.80 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.60. The Serie C Group A average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Novara's matches and 80% of Athletic Carpi's.

What form are Novara and Athletic Carpi in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Athletic Carpi?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.