Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: match statistics
Novara is showing exceptionally poor form at their own stadium this season, with a win rate of just 20% in home matches and a massive 50% draw rate, indicating difficulties in breaking down rivals in front of their home crowd. The hosts have earned only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and have not achieved a single victory, confirming their poor form. Dolomiti Bellunesi, despite better recent form (1.8 PPG in the last 5 matches), performs very poorly on the road—only 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10. A key factor is the tendency of both teams to draw: Novara draws 50% of home matches, and the guests 30% of away matches, with both teams failing to score in 40% of their fixtures. Considering the hosts' weak offensive efficiency (0.7 goals per match at home) and the guests' defensive problems away (2 goals conceded on average), I expect a tight, cautious match ending in a split of points.
Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara played Dolomiti Bellunesi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 11 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Novara: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Dolomiti Bellunesi: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 0.85 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Dolomiti Bellunesi scores 0.95 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 50%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 40%. Over 2.5: Novara 25%, Dolomiti Bellunesi 35%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.27. Novara: 10.7 shots per match, Dolomiti Bellunesi: 10.7.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.30. Dolomiti Bellunesi: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Novara: 31-45+ (5 goals). Dolomiti Bellunesi: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.21 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novara is showing exceptionally poor form at their own stadium this season, with a win rate of just 20% in home matches and a massive 50% draw rate, indicating difficulties in breaking down rivals in front of their home crowd. The hosts have earned only 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and have not achieved a single victory, confirming their poor form. Dolomiti Bellunesi, despite better recent form (1.8 PPG in the last 5 matches), performs very poorly on the road—only 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10. A key factor is the tendency of both teams to draw: Novara draws 50% of home matches, and the guests 30% of away matches, with both teams failing to score in 40% of their fixtures. Considering the hosts' weak offensive efficiency (0.7 goals per match at home) and the guests' defensive problems away (2 goals conceded on average), I expect a tight, cautious match ending in a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Dolomiti Bellunesi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Novara · 1.8 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Novara · 0.95 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Novara is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Novara · 1.3 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Novara scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Dolomiti Bellunesi keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Dolomiti Bellunesi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Novara · 1.25 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dolomiti Bellunesi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Dolomiti Bellunesi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Dolomiti Bellunesi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.85 | 2.21 | • 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 49% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 38% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 1:1 Dolomiti Bellunesi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
Novara score 0.85 goals per game on average and Dolomiti Bellunesi 0.95. The Serie C Group A average is 2.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novara's matches and 40% of Dolomiti Bellunesi's.
What form are Novara and Dolomiti Bellunesi in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Dolomiti Bellunesi 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Dolomiti Bellunesi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.