Novara vs Giana Erminio: match statistics
Novara exhibits a very high draw percentage in home matches (57%), indicating difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own stadium. Giana Erminio also frequently draws in away matches (38%) and is characterized by a solid defense with 62% clean sheets and a low average of conceded goals (0.69). The form of both teams over the last five matches is similar, although Novara has a better points tally (1.6 vs 1.2 PPG). xG analysis shows a slight advantage for the hosts (1.48 vs 1.34), but their low scoring efficiency in home matches (0.93 goals/match) and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (36%) suggest finishing issues. Considering both teams' statistics and their tendency for balanced play, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
Novara vs Giana Erminio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara played Giana Erminio in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Novara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Giana Erminio: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 0.93 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Giana Erminio scores 0.89 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 52%, Giana Erminio 37%. Over 2.5: Novara 26%, Giana Erminio 33%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Giana Erminio has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.40. Novara: 10.8 shots per match, Giana Erminio: 10.4.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44. Giana Erminio: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Novara: 61-75 (7 goals). Giana Erminio: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novara exhibits a very high draw percentage in home matches (57%), indicating difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own stadium. Giana Erminio also frequently draws in away matches (38%) and is characterized by a solid defense with 62% clean sheets and a low average of conceded goals (0.69). The form of both teams over the last five matches is similar, although Novara has a better points tally (1.6 vs 1.2 PPG). xG analysis shows a slight advantage for the hosts (1.48 vs 1.34), but their low scoring efficiency in home matches (0.93 goals/match) and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (36%) suggest finishing issues. Considering both teams' statistics and their tendency for balanced play, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novara is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Novara · 1.2 pts / match - Giana Erminio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Giana Erminio scores in 56% of matches (15 of 27 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Giana Erminio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Novara · 1.11 pts / match - Giana Erminio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Giana Erminio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.89 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Giana Erminio. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Giana Erminio?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 3:1 Giana Erminio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Giana Erminio?
Novara score 0.93 goals per game on average and Giana Erminio 0.89. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Novara's matches and 37% of Giana Erminio's.
What form are Novara and Giana Erminio in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Giana Erminio 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Giana Erminio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Novara vs Giana Erminio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.