Novara vs Giana Erminio: match statistics
Novara exhibits a very high draw percentage in home matches (57%), indicating difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own stadium. Giana Erminio also frequently draws in away matches (38%) and is characterized by a solid defense with 62% clean sheets and a low average of conceded goals (0.69). The form of both teams over the last five matches is similar, although Novara has a better points tally (1.6 vs 1.2 PPG). xG analysis shows a slight advantage for the hosts (1.48 vs 1.34), but their low scoring efficiency in home matches (0.93 goals/match) and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (36%) suggest finishing issues. Considering both teams' statistics and their tendency for balanced play, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
Novara vs Giana Erminio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara play Giana Erminio in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Giana Erminio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Giana Erminio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 53%, Giana Erminio 39%. Over 2.5: Novara 32%, Giana Erminio 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.38. Novara: 11.6 shots per match, Giana Erminio: 10.1.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50. Giana Erminio: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Giana Erminio: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Novara exhibits a very high draw percentage in home matches (57%), indicating difficulties in breaking down opponents at their own stadium. Giana Erminio also frequently draws in away matches (38%) and is characterized by a solid defense with 62% clean sheets and a low average of conceded goals (0.69). The form of both teams over the last five matches is similar, although Novara has a better points tally (1.6 vs 1.2 PPG). xG analysis shows a slight advantage for the hosts (1.48 vs 1.34), but their low scoring efficiency in home matches (0.93 goals/match) and a high percentage of matches without a goal scored (36%) suggest finishing issues. Considering both teams' statistics and their tendency for balanced play, the most probable scenario is a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Giana Erminio is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Novara · 1.4 pts / match - Giana Erminio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Novara · 1 goals / match - Giana Erminio
Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Giana Erminio keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).
Giana Erminio scores in 66% of matches (25 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novara
Over / Under — Giana Erminio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Giana Erminio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Giana Erminio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Giana Erminio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 30% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Giana Erminio. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Giana Erminio?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 3:1 Giana Erminio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Giana Erminio?
Novara score 1.05 goals per game on average and Giana Erminio 1.00. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 39% of Giana Erminio's.
What form are Novara and Giana Erminio in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Giana Erminio 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Giana Erminio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Novara vs Giana Erminio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.