Novara vs Lecco: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Novara vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara play Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 15 November 2026. Venue: Stadio Città di Meda.
Current form
Novara: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Lecco: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 0.85 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Lecco scores 1.69 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 38%, Lecco 31%. Over 2.5: Novara 38%, Lecco 54%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Lecco has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.38. Novara: 12.3 shots per match, Lecco: 13.7.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.62. Lecco: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Novara: 76-90+ (4 goals). Lecco: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lecco is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Novara · 2.2 pts / match - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 99% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Novara · 1.69 goals / match - Lecco
Lecco is 62% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Novara · 0.85 goals / match - Lecco
Novara scores in 46% of matches (6 of 13 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 46% (6 of 13 matches).
Lecco scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 168% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.69 pts / match - Novara · 1.85 pts / match - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +10 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.48 | • 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 31% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Novara 1 - 1 - 0 Lecco. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Novara and Lecco play?
Novara face Lecco on 15 November 2026 in Serie C Group A at Stadio Città di Meda. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novara and Lecco?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novara won 1, Lecco won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Lecco?
Novara score 0.85 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.69. The Serie C Group A average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Novara's matches and 31% of Lecco's.
What form are Novara and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lecco 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Lecco?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.