Italy - Serie C Group AData current as of 22 September 2026

Novara vs Ospitaletto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Novara vs Ospitaletto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Novara play Ospitaletto in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

Novara: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ospitaletto: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Novara scores 1.00 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Ospitaletto scores 1.83 and concedes 0.83. League average: 2.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Novara 50%, Ospitaletto 50%. Over 2.5: Novara 50%, Ospitaletto 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Ospitaletto has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.42. Novara: 12.8 shots per match, Ospitaletto: 13.7.

Match halves

Novara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83. Ospitaletto: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 1.33.

Goals by minute

Novara: 46-60 (2 goals). Ospitaletto: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1.83
NovaraOspitaletto
1.17Goals conceded / match0.83
NovaraOspitaletto
41%Average possession50%
NovaraOspitaletto
3.33Shots on target / match5.33
NovaraOspitaletto

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.83Shots per match13.67
NovaraOspitaletto
3.33Shots on target5.33
NovaraOspitaletto
7.8%Shot conversion13.4%
NovaraOspitaletto
41%Possession50%
NovaraOspitaletto
1.42xG for1.69
NovaraOspitaletto
1.51xG against1.3
NovaraOspitaletto

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedOspitaletto: Efficient finishing
NovaraOspitaletto
Accuracy (shots on target)26%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ospitaletto is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Novara · 1.6 pts / match - Ospitaletto

Novara
DWLDD
Season result split
17% W50% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 at home
0-2-1
DLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Ospitaletto
DWWDL
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-0
Last 5 away
0-2-0
DD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ospitaletto is 83% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Novara · 1.83 goals / match - Ospitaletto

Ospitaletto is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.17 goals / match - Novara · 0.83 goals / match - Ospitaletto

Novara scoring profile: mixed

Novara scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Ospitaletto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Ospitaletto scoring profile: very strong

Ospitaletto scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

6Goals scored (season)11
NovaraOspitaletto
7Goals conceded (season)5
NovaraOspitaletto
2.17Average goals in match2.67
NovaraOspitaletto
6Goals scored (last 5)9
NovaraOspitaletto
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
NovaraOspitaletto

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal83%
NovaraOspitaletto
50%2 goals67%
NovaraOspitaletto
0%3 goals33%
NovaraOspitaletto
0%4 goals0%
NovaraOspitaletto

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal67%
NovaraOspitaletto
33%2 goals17%
NovaraOspitaletto
0%3 goals0%
NovaraOspitaletto
0%4 goals0%
NovaraOspitaletto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
NovaraOspitaletto
17%BTTS in both halves0%
NovaraOspitaletto
17%Scored in both halves50%
NovaraOspitaletto

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
NovaraOspitaletto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
NovaraOspitaletto
60%BTTS - last 560%
NovaraOspitaletto

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
NovaraOspitaletto
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
NovaraOspitaletto
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
NovaraOspitaletto

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
NovaraOspitaletto
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
NovaraOspitaletto
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
NovaraOspitaletto

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ospitaletto is 134% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - Novara · 1.17 pts / match - Ospitaletto

Novara - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Ospitaletto - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)1.17
NovaraOspitaletto
0.17Goals scored (1st half)0.5
NovaraOspitaletto
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
NovaraOspitaletto
0.83Average goals (1st half)1
NovaraOspitaletto
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
NovaraOspitaletto
83%No goal before half-time50%
NovaraOspitaletto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)2.17
NovaraOspitaletto
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)1.33
NovaraOspitaletto
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
NovaraOspitaletto
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.67
NovaraOspitaletto
50%Clean sheet after half-time67%
NovaraOspitaletto
50%No goal after half-time17%
NovaraOspitaletto

Novara - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ospitaletto - second-half results

67% W17% D17% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding294%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ospitaletto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Novara
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Ospitaletto
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Ospitaletto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
171%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaOspitaletto
Average goals in match 2.172.28 2.67
Both teams scored 50%50% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%48% 50%
Clean sheets 17%34% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%58% 50%
Goal after half-time 50%67% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.28
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+14%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Novara 1 - 0 - 1 Ospitaletto. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Novara and Ospitaletto play?

Novara face Ospitaletto on 26 September 2026 in Serie C Group A. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Novara and Ospitaletto?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novara won 1, Ospitaletto won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Ospitaletto?

Novara score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ospitaletto 1.83. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novara's matches and 50% of Ospitaletto's.

What form are Novara and Ospitaletto in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ospitaletto 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Ospitaletto?

The statistical background for Novara vs Ospitaletto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.