Novara vs Pergolettese: match statistics
Novara presents solid form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten. The hosts have the advantage in possession (53%) and a higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.32); however, a significant 53% of their home matches end in a draw, indicating difficulties in breaking down defensive rivals. Despite a weaker away record (20% wins), Pergolettese is enjoying an excellent moment—four wins in their last five matches and a great points-per-match ratio (2.4). The xG statistics for both teams are close, and Novara's history of home performances (high draw percentage) suggests a balanced rivalry. Given the good form of both teams and the hosts' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
Novara vs Pergolettese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara played Pergolettese in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Novara: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Pergolettese: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 1.03 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Pergolettese scores 0.97 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 53%, Pergolettese 50%. Over 2.5: Novara 27%, Pergolettese 43%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.37. Novara: 11.2 shots per match, Pergolettese: 10.6.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.53. Pergolettese: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). Pergolettese: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Novara presents solid form with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, remaining unbeaten. The hosts have the advantage in possession (53%) and a higher average xG (1.5 vs 1.32); however, a significant 53% of their home matches end in a draw, indicating difficulties in breaking down defensive rivals. Despite a weaker away record (20% wins), Pergolettese is enjoying an excellent moment—four wins in their last five matches and a great points-per-match ratio (2.4). The xG statistics for both teams are close, and Novara's history of home performances (high draw percentage) suggests a balanced rivalry. Given the good form of both teams and the hosts' tendency to draw, a share of the points is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pergolettese is 9% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Novara · 2.4 pts / match - Pergolettese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novara is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Novara · 0.97 goals / match - Pergolettese
Novara is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Novara · 1.33 goals / match - Pergolettese
Novara scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Pergolettese keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Pergolettese scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Pergolettese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Novara · 1.13 pts / match - Pergolettese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pergolettese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Pergolettese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Pergolettese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.97 | 2.28 | • 2.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 66% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Pergolettese. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Pergolettese?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 1:1 Pergolettese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Pergolettese?
Novara score 1.03 goals per game on average and Pergolettese 0.97. The Serie C Group A average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Novara's matches and 50% of Pergolettese's.
What form are Novara and Pergolettese in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Pergolettese 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Pergolettese?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.