Novara vs Renate: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Novara played Renate in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Novara: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Renate: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Novara scores 0.86 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Renate scores 0.86 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.27 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Novara 50%, Renate 43%. Over 2.5: Novara 14%, Renate 29%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Renate has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.41. Novara: 10.9 shots per match, Renate: 11.2.

Match halves

Novara: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36. Renate: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Novara: 61-75 (4 goals). Renate: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group A: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
NovaraRenate
12Shots9
NovaraRenate
2Shots on target3
NovaraRenate
1.35xG1.31
NovaraRenate
4Corners8
NovaraRenate
62Dangerous attacks72
NovaraRenate
19Fouls20
NovaraRenate
3Cards3
NovaraRenate

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.86Goals scored / match0.86
NovaraRenate
0.79Goals conceded / match1.07
NovaraRenate
48%Average possession50%
NovaraRenate
4.21Shots on target / match3.43
NovaraRenate

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.93Shots per match11.21
NovaraRenate
4.21Shots on target3.43
NovaraRenate
7.8%Shot conversion7.6%
NovaraRenate
48%Possession50%
NovaraRenate
1.41xG for1.43
NovaraRenate
1.45xG against1.38
NovaraRenate

Shooting quality

Novara: BalancedRenate: Balanced
NovaraRenate
Accuracy (shots on target)39%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Novara is 120% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Novara · 1 pts / match - Renate

Novara
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
21% W64% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-9-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Renate
DLDWL
Season result split
29% W36% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-5-5
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.25BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Novara is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.79 goals / match - Novara · 1.07 goals / match - Renate

Novara scoring profile: strong

Novara scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Renate keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).

Renate scoring profile: mixed

Renate scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).

12Goals scored (season)12
NovaraRenate
11Goals conceded (season)15
NovaraRenate
1.64Average goals in match1.93
NovaraRenate
6Goals scored (last 5)2
NovaraRenate
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
NovaraRenate

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal64%
NovaraRenate
14%2 goals14%
NovaraRenate
0%3 goals7%
NovaraRenate
0%4 goals0%
NovaraRenate

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal64%
NovaraRenate
14%2 goals29%
NovaraRenate
7%3 goals14%
NovaraRenate
0%4 goals0%
NovaraRenate

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time14%
NovaraRenate
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NovaraRenate
7%Scored in both halves14%
NovaraRenate

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS21%
NovaraRenate
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
NovaraRenate
40%BTTS - last 520%
NovaraRenate

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
NovaraRenate
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
NovaraRenate
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NovaraRenate

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
NovaraRenate
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
NovaraRenate
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
NovaraRenate

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Renate is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.29 pts / match - Novara · 1.71 pts / match - Renate

Novara - half-time state
21% leading64% draw14% trailing
Renate - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.29Points per match (1st half)1.71
NovaraRenate
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.57
NovaraRenate
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
NovaraRenate
0.93Average goals (1st half)0.86
NovaraRenate
57%Clean sheet before half-time71%
NovaraRenate
57%No goal before half-time43%
NovaraRenate

After half-time (2nd half)

1.36Points per match (2nd half)0.86
NovaraRenate
0.36Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
NovaraRenate
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
NovaraRenate
0.71Average goals (2nd half)1.07
NovaraRenate
79%Clean sheet after half-time57%
NovaraRenate
64%No goal after half-time79%
NovaraRenate

Novara - second-half results

29% W50% D21% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Renate - second-half results

7% W64% D29% L
24
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding67%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Novara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Renate - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.0
Average goals in match1.00.0
1 goal80%0%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Novara
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Renate
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
2
16-30
3
0
31-45
2
2
46-60
0
1
61-75
2
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
79%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Novara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.66
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

Renate

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.26
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).

Teams vs league

NovaraLigaRenate
Average goals in match 1.642.27 1.93
Both teams scored 50%50% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 14%42% 29%
Clean sheets 43%30% 36%
Goal before half-time 57%70% 71%
Goal after half-time 50%69% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.27
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.23
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NovaraYellow cardGianmarco Basso
  2. NovaraYellow cardLeonardo Di Cosmo
  3. RenateYellow cardAristidi Kolaj
  4. RenateYellow cardAndrea Bonetti
  5. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Roberto RanieriOff: Gianmarco Basso
  6. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Leonardo MorosiniOff: Thomas Alberti
  7. RenateYellow cardGianluca Rossi
  8. RenateSubstitutionOn: Andrea GhezziOff: Gianluca Mastromonaco
  9. NovaraSubstitutionOn: Davide BertonciniOff: Andrea Valdesi
  10. NovaraYellow cardDavide Bertoncini

FAQ

What was the result of Novara vs Renate?

The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 0:1 Renate. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Renate?

Novara score 0.86 goals per game on average and Renate 0.86. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novara's matches and 43% of Renate's.

What form are Novara and Renate in?

Over the last 5 games Novara have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Renate 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Renate?

The statistical background for Novara vs Renate — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.