Novara vs Union Brescia: match statistics
Union Brescia displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors boast an impressive 67% away win rate, a +12 goal difference, and only 0.33 goals conceded per away match. Novara shows poor offensive efficiency in home matches (0.92 goals per game) and only a 25% win rate with 50% draws. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors Union Brescia (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for Novara). The high clean sheet percentage of the visitors (67%) and the negative goal difference of the hosts (-1) further support the advantage of the team from Brescia. I expect Union Brescia to leverage their solid defense and offensive efficiency to secure three points.
Novara vs Union Brescia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novara played Union Brescia in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Novara: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Union Brescia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novara scores 0.92 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Union Brescia scores 1.38 and concedes 0.58. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novara 54%, Union Brescia 42%. Over 2.5: Novara 25%, Union Brescia 29%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Union Brescia has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.41. Novara: 11.2 shots per match, Union Brescia: 13.4.
Match halves
Novara: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38. Union Brescia: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Novara: 31-45+ (6 goals). Union Brescia: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Union Brescia displays significantly better form and statistics in away matches. The visitors boast an impressive 67% away win rate, a +12 goal difference, and only 0.33 goals conceded per away match. Novara shows poor offensive efficiency in home matches (0.92 goals per game) and only a 25% win rate with 50% draws. Recent form over the last 5 matches also favors Union Brescia (2.0 points per game vs 1.2 for Novara). The high clean sheet percentage of the visitors (67%) and the negative goal difference of the hosts (-1) further support the advantage of the team from Brescia. I expect Union Brescia to leverage their solid defense and offensive efficiency to secure three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novara | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Union Brescia is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Novara · 2 pts / match - Union Brescia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Union Brescia is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
0.92 goals / match - Novara · 1.38 goals / match - Union Brescia
Union Brescia is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Novara · 0.58 goals / match - Union Brescia
Novara scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Union Brescia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (12 of 24 matches).
Union Brescia scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novara
Over / Under - Union Brescia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Novara · 1.21 pts / match - Union Brescia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Union Brescia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novara
Union Brescia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Novara | Liga | Union Brescia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.92 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 39% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novara 0 - 1 - 0 Union Brescia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novara vs Union Brescia?
The Serie C Group A match finished Novara 0:0 Union Brescia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novara vs Union Brescia?
Novara score 0.92 goals per game on average and Union Brescia 1.38. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Novara's matches and 42% of Union Brescia's.
What form are Novara and Union Brescia in?
Over the last 5 games Novara have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Union Brescia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novara vs Union Brescia?
The statistical background for Novara vs Union Brescia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.