Novi Pazar vs Čukarički: match statistics
Novi Pazar vs Čukarički: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novi Pazar played Čukarički in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Novi Pazar: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Čukarički: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novi Pazar scores 1.22 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Čukarički scores 1.38 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novi Pazar 47%, Čukarički 72%. Over 2.5: Novi Pazar 41%, Čukarički 50%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Novi Pazar has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.51. Novi Pazar: 13.2 shots per match, Čukarički: 12.5.
Match halves
Novi Pazar: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.59. Čukarički: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Novi Pazar: 31-45+ (10 goals). Čukarički: 16-30 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Čukarički). In the last 5 matches the visitors have 1 win and 4 draws, scoring 5 and conceding 4, while Novi Pazar in their last five have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 12. Despite this, the hosts have superior home metrics: average home xG 1.81 versus 1.58 away xG for the visitors, 5.88 shots on target per match compared to 4.25 and a higher shot conversion rate 10% versus the visitors’ 8%. Novi Pazar’s key weakness is defensive form and results – 12 goals conceded in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game) and only 0.2 points per match on average over that period, while Čukarički average 1.4 points per match in their last 5. Based on this I assess the probabilities as 25% home, 35% draw and 40% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS comes from the home side: Novi Pazar has a season percentage of matches with both teams scoring at 81%, and Čukarički 63%, averaging 72% which exceeds the league level of 54%. Novi Pazar scores 1.75 and concedes 1.38 per match, while Čukarički has 1.00 scored and 1.44 conceded, so both teams regularly create and allow chances. xG shows balance: Novi Pazar has xG for 1.43, while Čukarički concedes xG 1.58; conversely Čukarički has xG for 1.58 and Novi Pazar concedes xG 1.47, suggesting chance creation aligns with what the opponent typically allows. Clean sheet rates are low (Novi Pazar 19%, Čukarički 13%), and Novi Pazar rarely fails to score (only 6% of matches without a goal) although Čukarički has as many as 38% of matches without a goal; however in the last 5 fixtures both teams have BTTS only 40% each, which lowers the confidence of the signal. Considering the advantage in season metrics 81% vs 63%, supported by xG and low clean sheet percentages, I forecast BTTS at 72% (Yes) vs 28% (No) and select 'BTTS - Yes' as the best pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate 1.50 xG for Novi Pazar and 1.53 xG for Čukarički (total 3.03), calculated as the average of team attacking xG and opponent xG conceded (Novi Pazar attack xG 1.43 vs Čukarički conceded xG 1.58; Čukarički attack xG 1.58 vs Novi Pazar conceded xG 1.47). Seasonal stats indicate a propensity for goals: Novi Pazar has 81% of home matches over 1.5 goals, Čukarički 75%, and the league average is 2.69 goals per game. A Poisson model with total xG 3.03 yields about an 80.5% probability for over 1.5 (rounded to 81%), about 59% for Over 2.5 goals and about 36% for Over 3.5; these estimates align with seasonal over 2.5 figures (56% home vs 44% away). Additionally, the hosts have a higher shot conversion rate (15% vs 8%) and seasonal BTTS 81% versus 63% for the visitors, and Novi Pazar has conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 average), which increases the risk of multiple goals. Consequently, the strongest data signal is backing Over 1.5 (selection: Over 1.5, ~81% chance); Over 2.5 has moderate support (~59%), while Over 3.5 remains less likely (~36%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Novi Pazar dominates in the first half — they led at the break in 9 of 16 matches (56%) and average 0.81 goals scored before half-time versus 0.44 conceded (difference +0.37). Over the full match the home side average 1.75 goals compared to 1.00 for the visitors and have a 44% win rate versus Čukarički’s 19%, supporting a Novi Pazar victory. However, the second half is more dynamic — Novi Pazar average 0.94 goals scored and 0.94 conceded after the break (total 1.88), while the visitors post 0.38 scored and 0.56 conceded after half-time (total 0.94), so the risk of a turnaround to a draw exists. The visitors generate 1.58 xG versus 1.43 for the hosts but convert at a lower shot efficiency (8% vs 15%), which limits their ability to stage a comeback; therefore the strongest signal is 1/1, with 1/X as the second significant scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | Čukarički | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Čukarički is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 1.4 pts / match - Čukarički
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Čukarički is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Novi Pazar · 1.38 goals / match - Čukarički
Novi Pazar scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Čukarički keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
Čukarički scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novi Pazar
Over / Under - Čukarički
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Čukarički is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 1.41 pts / match - Čukarički
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Čukarički - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -8 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novi Pazar
Čukarički
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | Čukarički | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.68 | • 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 54% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 29% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Novi Pazar 0 - 2 - 0 Čukarički. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs Čukarički?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 2:2 Čukarički. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novi Pazar and Čukarički?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novi Pazar won 0, Čukarički won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs Čukarički?
Novi Pazar score 1.22 goals per game on average and Čukarički 1.38. The SuperLiga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Novi Pazar's matches and 72% of Čukarički's.
What form are Novi Pazar and Čukarički in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Čukarički 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs Čukarički?
The statistical background for Novi Pazar vs Čukarički — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.