Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between both teams. Novi Pazar displays solid home form with a 55% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference, but their last five overall matches have yielded only 1.4 points per game on average. OFK Beograd impresses with their recent away form, conceding just 1 goal in the last 5 away matches and achieving a 45% win rate on the road. The visitors boast a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%) and a more favorable away goal difference (+2). Considering OFK Beograd's high away draw percentage (36%) and the teams' similar average xG, I anticipate a tight, tactical encounter concluding with a share of the points.
Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novi Pazar played OFK Beograd in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Novi Pazar: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. OFK Beograd: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novi Pazar scores 1.18 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. OFK Beograd scores 1.32 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novi Pazar 50%, OFK Beograd 45%. Over 2.5: Novi Pazar 41%, OFK Beograd 41%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Novi Pazar has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.38. Novi Pazar: 13.7 shots per match, OFK Beograd: 11.4.
Match halves
Novi Pazar: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. OFK Beograd: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Novi Pazar: 46-60 (7 goals). OFK Beograd: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched contest between both teams. Novi Pazar displays solid home form with a 55% win rate in home matches and a +1 goal difference, but their last five overall matches have yielded only 1.4 points per game on average. OFK Beograd impresses with their recent away form, conceding just 1 goal in the last 5 away matches and achieving a 45% win rate on the road. The visitors boast a better shot conversion rate (12% vs 9%) and a more favorable away goal difference (+2). Considering OFK Beograd's high away draw percentage (36%) and the teams' similar average xG, I anticipate a tight, tactical encounter concluding with a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
OFK Beograd is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 1.6 pts / match - OFK Beograd
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
OFK Beograd is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Novi Pazar · 1.32 goals / match - OFK Beograd
Novi Pazar scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while OFK Beograd keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
OFK Beograd scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novi Pazar
Over / Under - OFK Beograd
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
OFK Beograd - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | OFK Beograd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.55 | 2.77 | • 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novi Pazar 1 - 0 - 0 OFK Beograd. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 2:1 OFK Beograd. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
Novi Pazar score 1.18 goals per game on average and OFK Beograd 1.32. The SuperLiga average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Novi Pazar's matches and 45% of OFK Beograd's.
What form are Novi Pazar and OFK Beograd in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and OFK Beograd 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs OFK Beograd?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.