Novi Pazar vs Partizan: match statistics
Novi Pazar vs Partizan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novi Pazar played Partizan in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 9 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Novi Pazar: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Partizan: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novi Pazar scores 1.24 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Partizan scores 2.03 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novi Pazar 45%, Partizan 55%. Over 2.5: Novi Pazar 38%, Partizan 66%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Partizan has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.63. Novi Pazar: 13.2 shots per match, Partizan: 15.2.
Match halves
Novi Pazar: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.62. Partizan: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Novi Pazar: 31-45+ (8 goals). Partizan: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Partizan is the favorite in this match, primarily due to their attacking superiority: 59 goals scored this season versus Novi Pazar's 36, and an average of 2.14 goals away compared to the hosts' 1.36. The visitors register more on-target shots (6.36 per away match vs. 5.57 for the hosts) and have a higher shot conversion rate of 16% versus 10%. Despite similar xG (Partizan xG 1.68 vs. Novi Pazar xG 1.76 in home matches), this translates into more goals for Partizan. Novi Pazar, however, have defensive strengths at their stadium: they concede only 1.07 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 43% of matches, while at home they have had 0% of matches without scoring. Over the last 5 rounds both teams have averaged 1 point per game and share an identical record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, indicating matched form. Considering Partizan's offensive edge and superior chance conversion against a solid but not impermeable home defense, I predict an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor 'No' (both teams not to score) with a 60% probability vs 40% for 'Yes'. Season indicators show moderate predisposition for BTTS: Novi Pazar 53% and Partizan 57%, average goals scored 1.93 (Novi Pazar) and 2.14 (Partizan) with xG 2.01 vs 1.68. However, Novi Pazar keeps 47% clean sheets at home and concedes on average 0.87 goals seasonally, while Partizan concedes 1.71 per match, which favors a defensive home outcome. In the last 5 matches Novi Pazar has only 20% BTTS, scores on average 0.6 and concedes 1.0, and Partizan in that period scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4, which together point to low-scoring games. Considering Novi Pazar’s high clean sheet rate and the clear offensive dip for the home side over the last five matches, the 'No' scenario looks stronger.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project xG of 1.85 for Novi Pazar and 1.41 for Partizan, totaling 3.26 xG and indicating a high-scoring game with many chances. Historically both teams show strong Over profiles: Novi Pazar has Over 1.5 in 80% and Over 2.5 in 67% of matches, Partizan 79% and 64% respectively, and BTTS is 53% vs 57%, which increases the probability of at least one goal from each side. A Poisson model with total xG=3.26 yields approximately an 84% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 63% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and roughly 41% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Additionally Novi Pazar averages 1.93 goals scored and concedes 0.87, while Partizan scores 2.14 and concedes 1.71, confirming the offensive nature of the matchup; therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5, with Over 2.5 also reasonable (~63%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Novi Pazar has a clear home advantage: 67% home-win rate and an average of 2.13 points per home match. They led at the break in 53% of games and average 1.0 goals by half-time while conceding only 0.4. Partizan, although averaging 2.14 goals per game this season and showing a strong second-half performance (on average 2.14 goals in the second half and 93% of matches with at least 0.5 goals after the break), are more often trailing at half-time (away team trailing at HT 36%). Additionally, xG favors the hosts: home xG 2.01 vs away xG 1.68, and the hosts have a superior half-time goal difference (GoalDifferenceHT_home 9 vs 4) and 60% clean sheets in the second half. Based on this, the most likely scenario is Novi Pazar leading at the break and winning after 90 minutes (HT/FT 1/1) — estimated probability 34%, with X/1 at 18% and 1/X at 12% as the main alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novi Pazar | Partizan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novi Pazar is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 1 pts / match - Partizan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Partizan is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Novi Pazar · 2.03 goals / match - Partizan
Novi Pazar is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Novi Pazar · 1.28 goals / match - Partizan
Novi Pazar scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Partizan keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Partizan scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Novi Pazar keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Novi Pazar
Over / Under - Partizan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Partizan is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Novi Pazar · 1.69 pts / match - Partizan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novi Pazar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Partizan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novi Pazar
Partizan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Novi Pazar | Liga | Partizan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.68 | ▲ 3.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▲ 66% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 29% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Novi Pazar 0 - 0 - 1 Partizan. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novi Pazar vs Partizan?
The SuperLiga match finished Novi Pazar 2:3 Partizan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novi Pazar vs Partizan?
Novi Pazar score 1.24 goals per game on average and Partizan 2.03. The SuperLiga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Novi Pazar's matches and 55% of Partizan's.
What form are Novi Pazar and Partizan in?
Over the last 5 games Novi Pazar have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Partizan 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novi Pazar vs Partizan?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Novi Pazar vs Partizan: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.