Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP: match statistics
Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novorizontino play Botafogo SP in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Novorizontino: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Botafogo SP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novorizontino scores 1.47 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Botafogo SP scores 1.11 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novorizontino 47%, Botafogo SP 50%. Over 2.5: Novorizontino 53%, Botafogo SP 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.37. Novorizontino: 14.7 shots per match, Botafogo SP: 12.3.
Match halves
Novorizontino: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.05. Botafogo SP: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Novorizontino is the match favorite: at home they generate on average 2.18 xG and 21 shots per game versus 1.26 xG and 11.67 shots per game for Botafogo away, indicating a clear advantage in chance creation. The hosts also average 6.33 shots on target per match and 54% possession, which translates to 1.33 goals per home game — additionally they have not had a match without scoring at home (FTS 0%), while Botafogo has 33% of away games without a goal. Form favors Novorizontino: in the last 5 matches they have averaged 1.6 points and scored 9 goals, whereas Botafogo have 0.6 points in that run and just 4 goals. At the same time Botafogo show better defensive numbers away (0.99–1.0 conceded on average vs 1.67 conceded by Novorizontino at home) and a higher shot conversion rate (9% vs 6%), which increases the chance of a draw or upset. Considering Novorizontino’s dominance in chance creation and superior recent form, I predict a home win, although given the hosts’ low finishing efficiency relative to xG (1.33 goals from 2.18 xG) the scoreline may be limited to one or two goals.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novorizontino | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo SP is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Novorizontino · 1.6 pts / match - Botafogo SP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1.11 goals / match - Botafogo SP
Novorizontino is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1 goals / match - Botafogo SP
Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Botafogo SP scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novorizontino
Over / Under — Botafogo SP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Botafogo SP is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Novorizontino · 1.33 pts / match - Botafogo SP
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Novorizontino | Liga | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 42% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 31% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Novorizontino 0 - 2 - 0 Botafogo SP. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
The Serie B match finished Novorizontino 1:0 Botafogo SP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novorizontino and Botafogo SP?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0, Botafogo SP won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
Novorizontino score 1.47 goals per game on average and Botafogo SP 1.11. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Novorizontino's matches and 50% of Botafogo SP's.
What form are Novorizontino and Botafogo SP in?
Over the last 5 games Novorizontino have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Botafogo SP 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novorizontino vs Botafogo SP?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.