Novorizontino vs Ceará: match statistics
Novorizontino vs Ceará: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novorizontino play Ceará in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Novorizontino: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ceará: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novorizontino scores 1.47 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Ceará scores 0.89 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novorizontino 47%, Ceará 50%. Over 2.5: Novorizontino 53%, Ceará 28%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.48. Novorizontino: 14.7 shots per match, Ceará: 13.4.
Match halves
Novorizontino: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.05. Ceará: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). Ceará: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back Novorizontino to win (1) because the hosts have a clear advantage in chance creation — home xG averages 1.9 versus 1.22 xG for Ceará away, average shots 18 vs 11 and SOT 5.5 vs 3.25. That converts into goal output: Novorizontino score 1.25 goals per home match on average, while Ceará only 0.75 away; additionally the hosts have no matches without a goal at home (FTS 0%) versus 50% FTS for the visitors. Defensively the visitors are solid — Ceará concede only 0.75 goals on average away and record 50% clean sheets, whereas Novorizontino concede 1.25 at home and have 25% clean sheets, which may limit the margin of victory. In the last 5 matches the hosts perform better (1.6 points on average vs 1.2 for Ceará) and have scored 6 goals versus the visitors’ 4, indicating better form and stability for Novorizontino. Considering the xG advantage (1.9 vs 1.22), superior quality chance volume (SOT 5.5 vs 3.25) and Ceará’s irregular away scoring (FTS 50%), I assess the probabilities as: hosts 55%, draw 25%, visitors 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novorizontino | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novorizontino is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Novorizontino · 0.4 pts / match - Ceará
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Novorizontino · 0.89 goals / match - Ceará
Novorizontino is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1.17 goals / match - Ceará
Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Ceará keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Ceará scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novorizontino
Over / Under — Ceará
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ceará - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novorizontino
Ceará
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Novorizontino | Liga | Ceará | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.06 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 42% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 31% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Ceará?
The Serie B match finished Novorizontino 2:1 Ceará. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Novorizontino vs Ceará?
Novorizontino score 1.47 goals per game on average and Ceará 0.89. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Novorizontino's matches and 50% of Ceará's.
What form are Novorizontino and Ceará in?
Over the last 5 games Novorizontino have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ceará 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novorizontino vs Ceará?
The statistical background for Novorizontino vs Ceará — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.