Novorizontino vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Novorizontino vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Novorizontino play Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 27 June 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Novorizontino: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Vila Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Novorizontino scores 1.47 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Vila Nova scores 1.42 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Novorizontino 47%, Vila Nova 58%. Over 2.5: Novorizontino 53%, Vila Nova 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Novorizontino has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.40. Novorizontino: 14.7 shots per match, Vila Nova: 13.2.
Match halves
Novorizontino: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.05. Vila Nova: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Novorizontino: 61-75 (8 goals). Vila Nova: 61-75 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Novorizontino has a clear advantage at home in chance creation: home average xG is 1.90 with 17.67 attempts and 5.83 shots on target, translating to 1.50 goals per game. Vila Nova on the road generates 1.39 xG, 13.14 attempts and 3.43 shots on target, i.e. only 1.14 goals per game and 29% of matches without a goal. In the last 5 matches Novorizontino scored 11 goals (2.2 per game) and has a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, while Vila Nova scored 8 goals (1.6 per game) and recorded 4 wins and 1 loss; points per game in this period are 2.2 versus 2.4 for the visitors. Defensively the hosts concede on average 0.94 xG against and 1.33 goals conceded at home, whereas the visitors have xG against 1.31 and concede on average 1.00 goal away, which suggests Novorizontino better limits high-quality chances. Considering the higher xG (1.90 vs 1.39), more shots on target (5.83 vs 3.43) and the fact the hosts have not had a goalless home game (0% matches without a goal), I forecast a Novorizontino win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Novorizontino | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Novorizontino is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Novorizontino · 1.16 goals / match - Vila Nova
Novorizontino scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Vila Nova scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Novorizontino keeps a clean sheet in 37% (7 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Novorizontino
Over / Under — Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vila Nova is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Novorizontino · 1.32 pts / match - Vila Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Novorizontino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Novorizontino | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Novorizontino 1 - 1 - 0 Vila Nova. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Novorizontino 2:1 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Novorizontino and Vila Nova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 1, Vila Nova won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
Novorizontino score 1.47 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.42. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Novorizontino's matches and 58% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Novorizontino and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Novorizontino have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Vila Nova 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Novorizontino vs Vila Nova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.