Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueData current as of 13 October 2026

Ntugasaze vs KCCA: match statistics

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Ntugasaze vs KCCA: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ntugasaze play KCCA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 13 October 2026.

Current form

Ntugasaze: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. KCCA: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ntugasaze scores 0.60 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. KCCA scores 0.40 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ntugasaze 40%, KCCA 0%. Over 2.5: Ntugasaze 60%, KCCA 0%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

KCCA has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.52. Ntugasaze: 11.4 shots per match, KCCA: 10.6.

Match halves

Ntugasaze: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20. KCCA: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Ntugasaze: 16-30 (1 goals). KCCA: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.6Goals scored / match0.4
NtugasazeKCCA
2.2Goals conceded / match0.8
NtugasazeKCCA
47%Average possession59%
NtugasazeKCCA
3.6Shots on target / match4
NtugasazeKCCA

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.4Shots per match10.6
NtugasazeKCCA
3.6Shots on target4
NtugasazeKCCA
5.3%Shot conversion3.8%
NtugasazeKCCA
47%Possession59%
NtugasazeKCCA
1.52xG for1.65
NtugasazeKCCA
1.69xG against1.09
NtugasazeKCCA

Shooting quality

Ntugasaze: BalancedKCCA: Balanced
NtugasazeKCCA
Accuracy (shots on target)32%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.10

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

KCCA is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Ntugasaze · 1.4 pts / match - KCCA

Ntugasaze
LLLLW
Season result split
20% W0% D80% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
LW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.69BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
KCCA
LLDWW
Season result split
40% W20% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ntugasaze is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

0.6 goals / match - Ntugasaze · 0.4 goals / match - KCCA

KCCA is 175% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.2 goals / match - Ntugasaze · 0.8 goals / match - KCCA

Ntugasaze scoring profile: mixed

Ntugasaze scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).

KCCA scoring profile: mixed

KCCA scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Ntugasaze keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

3Goals scored (season)2
NtugasazeKCCA
11Goals conceded (season)4
NtugasazeKCCA
2.8Average goals in match1.2
NtugasazeKCCA
3Goals scored (last 5)2
NtugasazeKCCA
11Goals conceded (last 5)4
NtugasazeKCCA

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal40%
NtugasazeKCCA
0%2 goals0%
NtugasazeKCCA
0%3 goals0%
NtugasazeKCCA
0%4 goals0%
NtugasazeKCCA

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal40%
NtugasazeKCCA
60%2 goals40%
NtugasazeKCCA
60%3 goals0%
NtugasazeKCCA
20%4 goals0%
NtugasazeKCCA

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
NtugasazeKCCA
0%BTTS in both halves0%
NtugasazeKCCA
0%Scored in both halves0%
NtugasazeKCCA

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
NtugasazeKCCA
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NtugasazeKCCA
40%BTTS - last 50%
NtugasazeKCCA

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time20%
NtugasazeKCCA
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
NtugasazeKCCA
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
NtugasazeKCCA

2nd half

60%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
NtugasazeKCCA
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
NtugasazeKCCA
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
NtugasazeKCCA

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ntugasaze - half-time state
20% leading20% draw60% trailing
KCCA - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.8Points per match (1st half)0.8
NtugasazeKCCA
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0
NtugasazeKCCA
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
NtugasazeKCCA
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.2
NtugasazeKCCA
40%Clean sheet before half-time80%
NtugasazeKCCA
60%No goal before half-time100%
NtugasazeKCCA

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per match (2nd half)1.4
NtugasazeKCCA
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
NtugasazeKCCA
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
NtugasazeKCCA
1.2Average goals (2nd half)1
NtugasazeKCCA
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
NtugasazeKCCA
80%No goal after half-time60%
NtugasazeKCCA

Ntugasaze - second-half results

0% W60% D40% L
4
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

KCCA - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ntugasaze - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
KCCA - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ntugasaze
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

KCCA
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
20%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
24%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ntugasaze

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.92
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
262%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

KCCA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.96
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-1.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
48%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

NtugasazeLigaKCCA
Average goals in match▲ 2.802.05▼ 1.20
Both teams scored▲ 40%37%▼ 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 60%40%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▼ 20%38%▲ 60%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%56%▼ 20%
Goal after half-time▼ 60%67%▲ 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.05
Average goals per match
37%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
0.84
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ntugasaze and KCCA play?

Ntugasaze face KCCA on 13 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ntugasaze vs KCCA?

Ntugasaze score 0.60 goals per game on average and KCCA 0.40. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ntugasaze's matches and 0% of KCCA's.

What form are Ntugasaze and KCCA in?

Over the last 5 games Ntugasaze have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and KCCA 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ntugasaze vs KCCA?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ntugasaze vs KCCA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.