Ñublense vs O'Higgins: match statistics
Ñublense vs O'Higgins: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ñublense played O'Higgins in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Ñublense: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. O'Higgins: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ñublense scores 1.10 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. O'Higgins scores 1.50 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ñublense 50%, O'Higgins 60%. Over 2.5: Ñublense 20%, O'Higgins 60%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
O'Higgins has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.34. Ñublense: 12.6 shots per match, O'Higgins: 13.4.
Match halves
Ñublense: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.70. O'Higgins: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Ñublense: 76-90+ (4 goals). O'Higgins: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ñublense has a clear home advantage: 40% wins, 40% draws and only 20% losses at home, with an average 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (xG 1.4 vs xG against 1.04). O'Higgins on the road scores an average 2.25 goals, records 5.0 shots on target and a conversion rate of 17%, but concedes as many as 2.75 goals away and has not kept a clean sheet (0% clean sheets). xG comparison shows similar offensive potential (1.46 for the visitors vs 1.4 for the hosts), yet the hosts compensate with better defensive organization and a 40% share of clean sheets at home. Both teams have 1.8 points per game in the last 5 matches, so form is balanced, however O'Higgins' high average goals conceded away increases the risk of their defeat. On this basis I predict a Ñublense win, with a moderate chance of a draw and a lower probability of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal for BTTS - Yes is that O'Higgins has a season BTTS rate of 100% versus Ñublense's 33%, while the visitors average 2.25 goals scored and concede 2.75 per match, significantly increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. The xG for both teams is 1.46 (1.46 vs 1.46), indicating both generate comparable chances, whereas the xG against O'Higgins is higher (1.58 vs 1.11), meaning the visitors more often allow opponent opportunities. In the last 5 matches Ñublense scored 6 and conceded 3 (avg 1.2 scored and 0.6 conceded), and O'Higgins scored 7 and conceded 7 (1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded), which confirms greater susceptibility of the visitors to conceded goals. Additionally O'Higgins records 5.0 shots on target and a 17% conversion versus Ñublense's 4.5 shots on target and 7% conversion, and the visitors have 0% clean sheets versus 33% for the hosts; all this favors a Goal/Goal scenario. Considering these figures and the league BTTS average of 44%, I assess the probability of BTTS at 80% (Yes) vs 20% (No) and recommend the pick: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Ñublense scores on average 1.00 goal per match and concedes 0.83, while O'Higgins scores 2.25 and concedes 2.75, indicating an offensive approach from the visitors. Both teams have xG of 1.46, with xG against at 1.11 for Ñublense and 1.58 for O'Higgins; shot conversion is 7% versus 17%, which explains O'Higgins' higher actual numbers. Based on average xG I expect about 1.52 goals for the home side and 1.29 for the visitors, totaling 2.81 (league average 2.64). A Poisson model translates this into roughly a 77% chance of Over 1.5 goals, 53% for Over 2.5 and 31% for Over 3.5; O'Higgins' season Over 2.5 rate is 100%, which further supports the goal outlook. The strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (77%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line to play.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Ñublense is the home favorite — they have a 67% win rate and average 2.0 points per match, while O'Higgins have a 25% win rate and average 1.0 point. At half-time the most common state is a draw: Ñublense are level at the break in 50% of matches, but lead at half-time in 33% of games and have a superior half-time points tally (9 points vs 5 points and an average of 1.5 half-time points compared to 1.25 for the visitors). O'Higgins have a higher average goals at half-time (1.0 vs 0.5), so they are a threat in the first half, yet in the last five matches the hosts have performed better after the break (an average 2.0 points from second halves for Ñublense vs 1.8 for O'Higgins). As a result the most secure HT/FT scenario is 1/1 (Ñublense leading at half-time and winning) with a 27% probability, alternatively X/1 (draw at half-time, home win) receives 25% due to the 50% rate of half-time draws and the overall home advantage.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ñublense | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
O'Higgins is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Ñublense · 2 pts / match - O'Higgins
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
O'Higgins is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Ñublense · 1.5 goals / match - O'Higgins
Ñublense is 129% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Ñublense · 1.6 goals / match - O'Higgins
Ñublense scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
O'Higgins scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ñublense
Over / Under - O'Higgins
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
O'Higgins is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Ñublense · 1.4 pts / match - O'Higgins
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
O'Higgins - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ñublense
O'Higgins
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Ñublense | Liga | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ñublense 0 - 0 - 2 O'Higgins. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ñublense vs O'Higgins?
The Primera División match finished Ñublense 0:2 O'Higgins. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ñublense and O'Higgins?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 0, O'Higgins won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ñublense vs O'Higgins?
Ñublense score 1.10 goals per game on average and O'Higgins 1.50. The Primera División average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ñublense's matches and 60% of O'Higgins's.
What form are Ñublense and O'Higgins in?
Over the last 5 games Ñublense have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and O'Higgins 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ñublense vs O'Higgins?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ñublense vs O'Higgins: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.