Ñublense vs Universidad Católica: match statistics
Ñublense is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive unbeaten record at home (2 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are extremely defensively stable at their own stadium, conceding only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games. Universidad Católica, on the other hand, has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), conceding as many as 2.5 goals on average per match away, which is their biggest weakness. Despite an advantage in possession (62%) and better offensive statistics (2 goals per match), the visitors have a negative away record and poor recent form (1.6 PPG). Considering Ñublense's defensive solidity at home and Universidad Católica's away problems, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow home win, although the visitors' high offensive efficiency prevents ruling them out from fighting for points.
Ñublense vs Universidad Católica: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ñublense played Universidad Católica in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ñublense: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Universidad Católica: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ñublense scores 1.00 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Universidad Católica scores 2.25 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ñublense 50%, Universidad Católica 75%. Over 2.5: Ñublense 0%, Universidad Católica 75%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Universidad Católica has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.28. Ñublense: 12.3 shots per match, Universidad Católica: 15.5.
Match halves
Ñublense: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Universidad Católica: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Ñublense: 31-45+ (1 goals). Universidad Católica: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ñublense is showing solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive unbeaten record at home (2 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are extremely defensively stable at their own stadium, conceding only 0.5 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of games. Universidad Católica, on the other hand, has not won a single away match this season (0% Win%), conceding as many as 2.5 goals on average per match away, which is their biggest weakness. Despite an advantage in possession (62%) and better offensive statistics (2 goals per match), the visitors have a negative away record and poor recent form (1.6 PPG). Considering Ñublense's defensive solidity at home and Universidad Católica's away problems, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow home win, although the visitors' high offensive efficiency prevents ruling them out from fighting for points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ñublense | Universidad Católica | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 18% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ñublense is 14% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Ñublense · 1.75 pts / match - Universidad Católica
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Universidad Católica is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ñublense · 2.25 goals / match - Universidad Católica
Ñublense is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Ñublense · 1.5 goals / match - Universidad Católica
Ñublense scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Universidad Católica keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Universidad Católica scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ñublense
Over / Under - Universidad Católica
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ñublense is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Ñublense · 0.5 pts / match - Universidad Católica
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Universidad Católica - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 75% |
| No goal | 25% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ñublense
Universidad Católica
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Ñublense | Liga | Universidad Católica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.31 | ▲ 3.75 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 46% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Universidad CatólicaSubstitutionOn: Bernardo Humberto Cerezo RojasOff: Tomás Pablo Astaburuaga Montoya
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ñublense 0 - 1 - 1 Universidad Católica. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ñublense vs Universidad Católica?
The Primera División match finished Ñublense 1:2 Universidad Católica. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ñublense and Universidad Católica?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 0, Universidad Católica won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ñublense vs Universidad Católica?
Ñublense score 1.00 goals per game on average and Universidad Católica 2.25. The Primera División average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ñublense's matches and 75% of Universidad Católica's.
What form are Ñublense and Universidad Católica in?
Over the last 5 games Ñublense have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Universidad Católica 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ñublense vs Universidad Católica?
The statistical background for Ñublense vs Universidad Católica — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.