Ñublense vs Universidad Chile: match statistics
Ñublense vs Universidad Chile: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ñublense play Universidad Chile in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 23:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ñublense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Universidad Chile: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ñublense scores 1.20 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Universidad Chile scores 1.13 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ñublense 53%, Universidad Chile 33%. Over 2.5: Ñublense 33%, Universidad Chile 33%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Universidad Chile has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.39. Ñublense: 12.7 shots per match, Universidad Chile: 12.5.
Match halves
Ñublense: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.60. Universidad Chile: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Ñublense: 31-45+ (5 goals). Universidad Chile: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X). Ñublense has a clear creation advantage at home: average xG 1.44, 14.5 shots and 3.25 on target per match, translating to 1.25 goals scored per game and 0% of home matches without a goal. Universidad Chile, however, shows strong form and away defence — in their last 5 matches the visitors recorded 3 wins, scored 8 goals and average 2.0 points per match, while conceding only 0.5 goals on average away with 75% clean sheets. Since both teams have the same finishing efficiency (conversion 9%) and Ñublense produces higher xG (1.44 vs 1.01), I expect a low-scoring game decided by a single situation or defensive error. Given the balance of the home attack and the visitors’ defensive stability, I assess the probabilities as 25% for the home team, 40% for a draw and 35% for the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ñublense | Universidad Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Universidad Chile is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ñublense · 2 pts / match - Universidad Chile
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ñublense is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Ñublense · 1.13 goals / match - Universidad Chile
Universidad Chile is 90% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Ñublense · 0.67 goals / match - Universidad Chile
Ñublense scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Universidad Chile keeps a clean sheet in 53% (8 of 15 matches).
Universidad Chile scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Ñublense keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ñublense
Over / Under — Universidad Chile
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Universidad Chile is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Ñublense · 1.47 pts / match - Universidad Chile
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ñublense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Universidad Chile - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ñublense
Universidad Chile
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Ñublense | Liga | Universidad Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.78 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ñublense 0 - 1 - 1 Universidad Chile. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ñublense vs Universidad Chile?
The Primera División match finished Ñublense 1:0 Universidad Chile. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ñublense and Universidad Chile?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ñublense won 0, Universidad Chile won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ñublense vs Universidad Chile?
Ñublense score 1.20 goals per game on average and Universidad Chile 1.13. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Ñublense's matches and 33% of Universidad Chile's.
What form are Ñublense and Universidad Chile in?
Over the last 5 games Ñublense have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Universidad Chile 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ñublense vs Universidad Chile?
The statistical background for Ñublense vs Universidad Chile — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.