Nueva Chicago vs Midland: match statistics
Nueva Chicago vs Midland: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nueva Chicago played Midland in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 13 April 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Nueva Chicago: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Midland: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nueva Chicago scores 1.14 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Midland scores 0.86 and concedes 0.43. League average: 1.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nueva Chicago 29%, Midland 29%. Over 2.5: Nueva Chicago 29%, Midland 14%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Midland has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.06. Nueva Chicago: 8.6 shots per match, Midland: 15.0.
Match halves
Nueva Chicago: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71. Midland: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Nueva Chicago: 61-75 (3 goals). Midland: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.87 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nueva Chicago has a slight defensive edge at home — concedes on average 0.33 goals per game and records clean sheets in 67% of matches, while Midland concedes 0.67 on the road and also posts 67% clean sheets. In attack the hosts score 1.00 goal per home match with xG 1.26 and a conversion rate of 10% (4.67 shots on target), whereas Midland scores 0.67 away with a higher xG 1.51 but low conversion of 5% (4.33 shots on target). That indicates Midland creates more high-quality chances (xG 1.51 vs 1.26) but is inefficient at finishing them (0.67 goals from xG 1.51), while Nueva Chicago converts opportunities more effectively. In the last five matches Nueva Chicago have a 3-1-1 record (average 2.0 pts/game), and Midland 3-2-0 (average 2.2 pts/game), reflecting comparable form. Given the hosts' higher shot efficiency and lower average goals conceded I project a Nueva Chicago win; probabilities: 55% for '1', 30% for draw, 15% for '2'.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No because season BTTS rates are low: 25% for Nueva Chicago and 33% for Midland, alongside high clean sheet expected rates of 75% and 67%. The defensive profile is supported by goals conceded averages: Nueva Chicago concedes only 0.25 goals per match on the season (0.8 in the last 5), and Midland 0.67 seasonally and just 0.2 in the last five, reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring. Although xG indicates some chances (xG_for 1.92 for Nueva Chicago vs 1.51 for Midland), low shot conversion of 6% and 5% and season goal totals of 8 and 6 show created chances rarely translate into goals. Additionally the league BTTS is 38% with 78% clean sheets, and the last 5 matches for both teams produced 7 and 5 goals respectively, reinforcing the No Goal scenario as more probable.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Nueva Chicago (xG_for 1.92 vs xG_against Midland 1.27 → (1.92+1.27)/2=1.60) and 1.24 for Midland ((1.51+0.97)/2=1.24), totalling 2.84 goals. Season averages are 1.0 goals for the home side and 0.67 for the away side, but in the last 5 matches the home team has scored 1.4 on average and the away team 1.0, which increases the probability of at least two goals. Additionally, the home side averages 16.75 shots (4.5 shots on target) versus 12.67 (4.33 shots on target) for the visitors, and conversion rates of 6% and 5% respectively, confirming chance creation. On the other hand, high clean sheet rates of 75% (home) and 67% (away) and low percentages of BTTS matches (25% and 33%) limit the likelihood of a high-scoring game, while season Over 2.5 stands at 0% for the home team and 33% for the away. As a result, the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (72% probability), Over 2.5 is assessed as moderate (58%), and Over 3.5 has low chances (15%); therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Nueva Chicago leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) because the home side holds a clear advantage in xG and chance creation: xG_for 1.92 versus 1.51 for Midland, with an average of 16.75 shots to 12.67 and 4.5 on target to 4.33. The hosts led at the break in 2 of 4 matches (50%) and average 0.5 goals at Half-Time with 0.0 conceded, while the visitors average 0.33 scored and 0.67 conceded by the break, favoring a Nueva Chicago lead after 45 minutes. Post-break the home advantage persists statistically — 2.0 points per home game versus 1.33 for the away side and a seasonal goals average of 1.0 vs 0.67 — so leads are frequently converted into wins. Additionally, the league has a high clean sheet rate (78%), increasing the likelihood of a low 1:0 Full-Time score and making 1/1 the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nueva Chicago | Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.19 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Midland is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Nueva Chicago · 2.2 pts / match - Midland
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nueva Chicago is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Nueva Chicago · 0.86 goals / match - Midland
Midland is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - Nueva Chicago · 0.43 goals / match - Midland
Nueva Chicago scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Midland keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
Midland scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Nueva Chicago keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nueva Chicago
Over / Under - Midland
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Midland is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Nueva Chicago · 1.71 pts / match - Midland
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nueva Chicago - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Midland - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nueva Chicago
Midland
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Nueva Chicago | Liga | Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 1.87 | ▼ 1.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 38% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 39% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 72% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Nueva Chicago 2:2 Midland. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
Nueva Chicago score 1.14 goals per game on average and Midland 0.86. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Nueva Chicago's matches and 29% of Midland's.
What form are Nueva Chicago and Midland in?
Over the last 5 games Nueva Chicago have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Midland 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nueva Chicago vs Midland?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.