Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very even match between two teams in poor form. Nuova Monterosi has a disastrous home record with only 17% wins in home matches and a goal difference of -3, but compensates with a solid defense (50% clean sheets). Forlì shows even worse away statistics with 58% losses and a goal difference of -9, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per match. Both teams failed to score in half of their matches (FTS% 50%), and their recent form is equally poor – the hosts with 0.6 PPG, the visitors with 1.0 PPG in their last five matches. Considering the high percentage of draws for the hosts (50% in home matches) and the mutual offensive weakness, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the slight home advantage gives them a marginally higher chance of victory.
Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nuova Monterosi played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Nuova Monterosi: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Forlì: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nuova Monterosi scores 0.88 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.17 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nuova Monterosi 42%, Forlì 50%. Over 2.5: Nuova Monterosi 29%, Forlì 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.26. Nuova Monterosi: 9.6 shots per match, Forlì: 11.5.
Match halves
Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.54. Forlì: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Nuova Monterosi: 76-90+ (8 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very even match between two teams in poor form. Nuova Monterosi has a disastrous home record with only 17% wins in home matches and a goal difference of -3, but compensates with a solid defense (50% clean sheets). Forlì shows even worse away statistics with 58% losses and a goal difference of -9, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per match. Both teams failed to score in half of their matches (FTS% 50%), and their recent form is equally poor – the hosts with 0.6 PPG, the visitors with 1.0 PPG in their last five matches. Considering the high percentage of draws for the hosts (50% in home matches) and the mutual offensive weakness, a draw seems the most likely outcome, although the slight home advantage gives them a marginally higher chance of victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nuova Monterosi | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forlì is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.17 goals / match - Forlì
Nuova Monterosi is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.42 goals / match - Forlì
Nuova Monterosi scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
Forlì scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nuova Monterosi
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forlì is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.25 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nuova Monterosi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nuova Monterosi
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Nuova Monterosi | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.79 | 2.26 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 37% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 42% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nuova Monterosi 0 - 0 - 1 Forlì. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Nuova Monterosi 2:2 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì?
Nuova Monterosi score 0.88 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.17. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 50% of Forlì's.
What form are Nuova Monterosi and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Forlì 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì?
The statistical background for Nuova Monterosi vs Forlì — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.