Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno: match statistics
Nuova Monterosi boasts a solid home form with 56% clean sheets and an average of just 0.78 goals conceded per home match, constituting a robust defensive foundation. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (51% vs 47%) and xG coefficient (1.32 vs 1.34), indicating superior quality of created chances. Livorno exhibits dismal away form with a 78% loss rate and a goal difference of -12 on the road, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per match. The visitors fail to score in 56% of their away fixtures, which, against the hosts' solid defense, significantly reduces their chances of securing points. While the recent form of both teams is comparable (0.8 PPG for Monterosi vs 1.0 PPG for Livorno), home advantage and head-to-head statistics tilt the balance in favor of the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nuova Monterosi played Livorno in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Nuova Monterosi: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Livorno: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nuova Monterosi scores 0.95 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Livorno scores 0.90 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nuova Monterosi 40%, Livorno 50%. Over 2.5: Nuova Monterosi 30%, Livorno 60%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Livorno has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.21. Nuova Monterosi: 9.2 shots per match, Livorno: 10.4.
Match halves
Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Livorno: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Nuova Monterosi: 76-90+ (7 goals). Livorno: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nuova Monterosi boasts a solid home form with 56% clean sheets and an average of just 0.78 goals conceded per home match, constituting a robust defensive foundation. The hosts hold the advantage in possession (51% vs 47%) and xG coefficient (1.32 vs 1.34), indicating superior quality of created chances. Livorno exhibits dismal away form with a 78% loss rate and a goal difference of -12 on the road, conceding an average of 1.78 goals per match. The visitors fail to score in 56% of their away fixtures, which, against the hosts' solid defense, significantly reduces their chances of securing points. While the recent form of both teams is comparable (0.8 PPG for Monterosi vs 1.0 PPG for Livorno), home advantage and head-to-head statistics tilt the balance in favor of the hosts, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nuova Monterosi | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Livorno is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1 pts / match - Livorno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nuova Monterosi is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 0.9 goals / match - Livorno
Nuova Monterosi is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.55 goals / match - Livorno
Nuova Monterosi scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Livorno keeps a clean sheet in 20% (4 of 20 matches).
Livorno scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nuova Monterosi
Over / Under - Livorno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nuova Monterosi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Livorno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nuova Monterosi
Livorno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Nuova Monterosi | Liga | Livorno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 60% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nuova Monterosi 1 - 0 - 0 Livorno. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno?
The Serie C Group B match finished Nuova Monterosi 0:2 Livorno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno?
Nuova Monterosi score 0.95 goals per game on average and Livorno 0.90. The Serie C Group B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 50% of Livorno's.
What form are Nuova Monterosi and Livorno in?
Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Livorno 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno?
The statistical background for Nuova Monterosi vs Livorno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.