Nuova Monterosi vs Pineto: match statistics
Nuova Monterosi vs Pineto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nuova Monterosi played Pineto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nuova Monterosi: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Pineto: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nuova Monterosi scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Pineto scores 0.86 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nuova Monterosi 71%, Pineto 57%. Over 2.5: Nuova Monterosi 43%, Pineto 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Nuova Monterosi has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.49. Nuova Monterosi: 13.9 shots per match, Pineto: 12.3.
Match halves
Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.86. Pineto: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Nuova Monterosi: 46-60 (3 goals). Pineto: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nuova Monterosi are favorites at home: they have won 50% of their home matches and have yet to lose one, while Pineto are still without an away win. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded at home, while the visitors score 1 goal and concede 1.33 on the road. Chance quality also gives Monterosi a slight edge: their home xG stands at 1.32, compared with Pineto’s away xG of 1.13. Both teams have won just once in their last five matches, but Pineto have conceded 10 goals over that span—twice as many as the hosts. The risk of a draw remains significant, as 50% of Monterosi’s home matches and 67% of Pineto’s away matches have ended level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have scored at both ends in 80% of their last 5 matches, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. Pineto conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match during this period, while Nuova Monterosi conceded 1.0, giving both sides a chance to exploit their opponents' defensive lapses. The hosts average 1.75 xG at home, compared with 1.48 xG conceded by the visitors, which strengthens the case for them to score. The main concern is finishing: Nuova Monterosi failed to score in 50% of their home matches, while Pineto did so in 33% of their away games. Even so, both teams' recent form and their season percentages of matches in which both teams scored—50% and 67%, respectively—give the BTTS - Yes scenario a moderate edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Under 3.5 goals: this threshold was not exceeded in 75% of Nuova Monterosi’s matches and 67% of Pineto’s matches. The home side averages 0.75 goals, while the visitors average 1.00, limiting the likelihood of a high-scoring game despite generating 1.75 and 1.13 xG respectively. Pineto have conceded an average of 2.0 goals across their last five matches, but Monterosi’s games have produced only 2.0 goals in total, with Over 2.5 landing just once. The projected total of 2.45 goals suggests that the 3.5 line offers a greater margin than 2.5, with a forecast probability of 75% for fewer than four goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Nuova Monterosi were level at half-time in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Pineto were level at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches; neither team led at half-time in these games. In their last 5 matches, the hosts won 3 second halves and did not concede a single goal after the break, while the visitors lost 2 second halves. The hosts’ higher average xG also supports a win: 1.75 compared with Pineto’s 1.13, alongside an average of 5.75 shots on target per match compared with their opponents’ 3.67. A draw after 90 minutes remains a significant possibility, as the hosts have drawn 50% of their home matches and the visitors 67% of their away games. However, Nuova Monterosi’s edge in chance creation and second-half performance points to an X/1 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nuova Monterosi | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nuova Monterosi is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1 pts / match - Pineto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nuova Monterosi is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 0.86 goals / match - Pineto
Nuova Monterosi is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi · 1.43 goals / match - Pineto
Nuova Monterosi scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Pineto keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Pineto scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nuova Monterosi
Over / Under - Pineto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nuova Monterosi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pineto - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nuova Monterosi
Pineto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Nuova Monterosi | Liga | Pineto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 48% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Nuova Monterosi 0 - 1 - 1 Pineto. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nuova Monterosi vs Pineto?
The Serie C Group B match finished Nuova Monterosi 1:0 Pineto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Nuova Monterosi and Pineto?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Nuova Monterosi won 0, Pineto won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Nuova Monterosi vs Pineto?
Nuova Monterosi score 1.29 goals per game on average and Pineto 0.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Nuova Monterosi's matches and 57% of Pineto's.
What form are Nuova Monterosi and Pineto in?
Over the last 5 games Nuova Monterosi have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Pineto 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nuova Monterosi vs Pineto?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nuova Monterosi vs Pineto: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.