Nürnberg vs Elversberg: match statistics
Elversberg is displaying significantly better form and league standing (2nd place) compared to Nürnberg (8th place). The visitors have earned 2.2 points per match in their last five outings with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, while the hosts have achieved only 1.4 points per match. Elversberg also stands out with superior offensive efficiency in away games, scoring an average of 1.78 goals per match with a 12% conversion rate, surpassing the hosts' average of 1.22 goals at 10% efficiency. Elversberg's positive away goal difference (+6) and higher average xG (1.62 vs 1.4) confirm a qualitative advantage for the visitors. Although Nürnberg possesses a decent home record (44% win rate), Elversberg's form and statistics point to a higher probability of an away victory.
Nürnberg vs Elversberg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nürnberg played Elversberg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Nürnberg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Elversberg: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nürnberg scores 1.12 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Elversberg scores 1.82 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nürnberg 59%, Elversberg 41%. Over 2.5: Nürnberg 59%, Elversberg 47%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Elversberg has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.39. Nürnberg: 12.0 shots per match, Elversberg: 15.2.
Match halves
Nürnberg: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71. Elversberg: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.12.
Goals by minute
Nürnberg: 46-60 (6 goals). Elversberg: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Elversberg is displaying significantly better form and league standing (2nd place) compared to Nürnberg (8th place). The visitors have earned 2.2 points per match in their last five outings with a record of 3 wins and 2 draws, while the hosts have achieved only 1.4 points per match. Elversberg also stands out with superior offensive efficiency in away games, scoring an average of 1.78 goals per match with a 12% conversion rate, surpassing the hosts' average of 1.22 goals at 10% efficiency. Elversberg's positive away goal difference (+6) and higher average xG (1.62 vs 1.4) confirm a qualitative advantage for the visitors. Although Nürnberg possesses a decent home record (44% win rate), Elversberg's form and statistics point to a higher probability of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nürnberg | Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Elversberg is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Nürnberg · 2.2 pts / match - Elversberg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Elversberg is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Nürnberg · 1.82 goals / match - Elversberg
Elversberg is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - Nürnberg · 0.88 goals / match - Elversberg
Nürnberg scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Elversberg keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Elversberg scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nürnberg
Over / Under - Elversberg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Elversberg is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Nürnberg · 1.76 pts / match - Elversberg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Elversberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nürnberg
Elversberg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Nürnberg | Liga | Elversberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 66% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 84% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nürnberg 0 - 0 - 1 Elversberg. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nürnberg vs Elversberg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Nürnberg 3:2 Elversberg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nürnberg vs Elversberg?
Nürnberg score 1.12 goals per game on average and Elversberg 1.82. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Nürnberg's matches and 41% of Elversberg's.
What form are Nürnberg and Elversberg in?
Over the last 5 games Nürnberg have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Elversberg 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nürnberg vs Elversberg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nürnberg vs Elversberg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.