Nürnberg vs Magdeburg: match statistics
Nürnberg vs Magdeburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nürnberg played Magdeburg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Nürnberg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Magdeburg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nürnberg scores 1.30 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Magdeburg scores 1.60 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nürnberg 63%, Magdeburg 50%. Over 2.5: Nürnberg 53%, Magdeburg 57%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Magdeburg has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.43. Nürnberg: 12.5 shots per match, Magdeburg: 16.1.
Match halves
Nürnberg: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73. Magdeburg: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Nürnberg: 46-60 (10 goals). Magdeburg: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nürnberg (9th) has a 47% home win rate, averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per match, which gives them a table and defensive edge over Magdeburg (15th). Magdeburg have scored more overall this season (48 vs 39) and in the last 5 matches have 13 goals and average 2.0 points per game, compared to the hosts’ 8 goals and 1.6 points. The visitors create more chances: away they average 6 shots on target, 16.07 total shots and xG 1.73, while Nürnberg at home records 4.87 shots on target, 14.27 shots and xG 1.58. At the same time Magdeburg concede 1.87 goals on average away and have a 53% away loss rate (55 goals conceded this season vs 41 for Nürnberg), so the home defense is a key advantage. Consequently I predict a narrow home edge and tip a Nürnberg win, but with a high probability of both teams scoring (50% home, 24% draw, 26% away).
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication for BTTS is recent form: in the last 5 matches Nürnberg recorded BTTS in 60% of cases (3/5), while Magdeburg in 80% (4/5), indicating a clear propensity for both teams to score. Season averages show Nürnberg scores 1.47 and concedes 1.80 goals per match, whereas Magdeburg scores 1.73 and concedes 1.87; both teams have only 20% clean sheets this season, meaning they concede in about 80% of their games. xG and shooting statistics also favor BTTS: Nürnberg has an attacking xG of 1.76 with xG against 1.37, Magdeburg has attacking xG 1.73 with xG against 1.73; average shots on target are 5.07 (Nürnberg) versus 6.00 (Magdeburg), and conversion rates are 9% versus 11%. Additionally, the league BTTS rate is 59%, both teams have high over 2.5 percentages (Nürnberg 53%, Magdeburg 60%), and the over 2.5 + BTTS combinations are 40% and 53%, supporting a multi-goal scenario with goals from both sides. Considering the 60%/80% in the last 5 matches, low 20% clean sheets, similar xG and shot volumes, I assess the probability of BTTS at roughly 75% vs 25% and recommend the selection BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect roughly 3.30 total goals in the match (Nürnberg ~1.60, Magdeburg ~1.70), basing the forecast on both teams' xG: 1.76 for Nürnberg and 1.73 for Magdeburg. Seasonal percentages of matches with at least 2 goals are high: Nürnberg 87% and Magdeburg 80%, which translates to a strong probability for Over 1.5 — I estimate it at 84%. In the last 5 matches Nürnberg scored 8 goals (avg. 1.6) and Magdeburg 13 goals (avg. 2.6); additionally shots ~16 and shots on target 5.07 vs 6.0 confirm offensive potential. Both sides have only ~20% clean sheets and the share of matches where both teams scored is 47% for Nürnberg and 53% for Magdeburg, so I expect goals from both teams. Therefore the best line to play is Over 1.5 (strongest signal); Over 2.5 is also significant (I estimate 64%), whereas Over 3.5 is less certain (about 42%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I select the 2/2 variant (away team leading at half-time and winning), because Magdeburg posts stronger season figures: 40% wins and an average of 1.73 goals per game versus 27% wins and 1.47 goals for Nürnberg. At half-time Magdeburg holds a clear advantage — averaging 0.93 goals by the break versus 0.53 for the home side; the visitors recorded 5 leads at the break (33%) against Nürnberg’s 3 (20%) and scored 27 goals before half-time compared to 19. Nürnberg mainly stages comebacks in the second half (7 goals in 61–75 minutes and 6 goals in 76–90), but were trailing at the break in 47% of matches, which reduces the home side’s chances of a turnaround. Magdeburg also has better half-time and overall outcomes: 20 points at half-time vs 14 for the hosts and average half-time points 1.33 vs 0.93, confirming their ability to hold a lead. Despite similar xG (1.76 for Nürnberg vs 1.73 for Magdeburg) and a relatively high share of both-teams-to-score matches (47% for the home side and 53% for the visitors), the strongest signal from the data indicates the visitors will maintain their lead and secure the final victory (2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nürnberg | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Magdeburg is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Nürnberg · 2 pts / match - Magdeburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Magdeburg is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Nürnberg · 1.6 goals / match - Magdeburg
Nürnberg is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Nürnberg · 1.83 goals / match - Magdeburg
Nürnberg scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Magdeburg keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Magdeburg scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nürnberg
Over / Under - Magdeburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nürnberg is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.37 pts / match - Nürnberg · 1.13 pts / match - Magdeburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Magdeburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nürnberg
Magdeburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Nürnberg | Liga | Magdeburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 58% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 23% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 85% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Nürnberg 0 - 0 - 1 Magdeburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Nürnberg vs Magdeburg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Nürnberg 1:0 Magdeburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nürnberg vs Magdeburg?
Nürnberg score 1.30 goals per game on average and Magdeburg 1.60. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Nürnberg's matches and 50% of Magdeburg's.
What form are Nürnberg and Magdeburg in?
Over the last 5 games Nürnberg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Magdeburg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nürnberg vs Magdeburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nürnberg vs Magdeburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.