Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg: match statistics
Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Nürnberg played Wolfsburg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Max-Morlock-Stadion. Final score: 4:4.
Current form
Nürnberg: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Wolfsburg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Nürnberg scores 2.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Wolfsburg scores 2.50 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Nürnberg 67%, Wolfsburg 50%. Over 2.5: Nürnberg 83%, Wolfsburg 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Wolfsburg has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.77. Nürnberg: 16.7 shots per match, Wolfsburg: 18.7.
Match halves
Nürnberg: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Wolfsburg: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Nürnberg: 31-45+ (4 goals). Wolfsburg: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nürnberg have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten this season, while Wolfsburg have recorded 3 wins and suffered one defeat over the same period. At home, the hosts have won all 3 matches, scoring an average of 3 goals and conceding 0.67; away from home, the visitors average 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Wolfsburg create slightly better scoring chances, with an away xG of 1.96 compared with Nürnberg’s 1.86 at home, but the hosts are more clinical in front of goal, converting 16% of their shots compared with 11%. Nürnberg’s defence also supports the case for a home win: their home xG against is 1.22, while Wolfsburg’s away xG against stands at 1.64. The visitors have scored an impressive 18 goals in their last 5 matches and could pose a threat to the hosts, but the 9 goals they have conceded over that period increase Nürnberg’s chances of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal in favor of both teams scoring is that Nürnberg and Wolfsburg have each recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. During that period, they scored an average of 2.4 and 3.6 goals respectively, while Wolfsburg conceded 1.8 goals per match, boosting the hosts’ chances of finding the net. Their attacking potential is supported by average xG of 1.99 for Nürnberg and 1.96 for Wolfsburg, along with 6.0 and 6.67 shots on target per match respectively. Some caution is warranted, however: Wolfsburg’s BTTS rate for the season is just 33%, compared with 67% for the hosts, and both teams kept a clean sheet in 33% of their matches. Even so, the current scoring form of both attacks and their recent run of matches with goals at both ends point to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Nürnberg averaged 2,4 goals scored and Wolfsburg 3,6; matches involving the two teams went Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases. Their attacking potential is backed up by average xG of 1,99 for the home side and 1,96 for the away side, as well as 6,0 and 6,67 shots on target per match, respectively. At the same time, Wolfsburg have conceded an average of 1,8 goals recently, compared with 1,0 for Nürnberg, which favors both teams getting on the scoresheet. The projected total of 3,65 goals points to a high-scoring game, but Over 1.5 goals offers the strongest signal: I rate it at 88%, compared with 71% for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Nürnberg leading at the break: they did so in 2 of 3 home matches, scoring an average of 1.67 goals before half-time, while Wolfsburg were level at half-time in 2 of 3 away matches. The hosts average 3.0 goals per home match and have won 4 of their last 5 games without losing any. Nürnberg’s average of 1.33 goals after the break in home matches also supports them holding on to their lead, although Wolfsburg conceded only 0.33 goals in the second halves of away matches. The visitors remain dangerous—scoring an average of 3.6 goals across their last 5 matches and leading at the break 4 times—so the hosts’ advantage is not decisive, but the 1/1 scenario has the strongest support in the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Nürnberg | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nürnberg is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Nürnberg · 2 pts / match - Wolfsburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nürnberg is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
2.67 goals / match - Nürnberg · 2.5 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Nürnberg is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Nürnberg · 1.33 goals / match - Wolfsburg
Nürnberg scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Wolfsburg scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Nürnberg
Over / Under - Wolfsburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Nürnberg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wolfsburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Nürnberg
Wolfsburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Nürnberg | Liga | Wolfsburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Nürnberg 4:4 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg?
Nürnberg score 2.67 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 2.50. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Nürnberg's matches and 50% of Wolfsburg's.
What form are Nürnberg and Wolfsburg in?
Over the last 5 games Nürnberg have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Wolfsburg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


