Germany - 2. BundesligaMax-Morlock-StadionData current as of 16 October 2026

Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg: match statistics

Nürnberg crest
Nürnberg
4 : 4half-time 0:2
Wolfsburg crest
Wolfsburg

Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Nürnberg played Wolfsburg in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Max-Morlock-Stadion. Final score: 4:4.

Current form

Nürnberg: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Wolfsburg: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Nürnberg scores 2.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Wolfsburg scores 2.50 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.20 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Nürnberg 67%, Wolfsburg 50%. Over 2.5: Nürnberg 83%, Wolfsburg 50%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Wolfsburg has higher xG: 1.97 vs 1.77. Nürnberg: 16.7 shots per match, Wolfsburg: 18.7.

Match halves

Nürnberg: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Wolfsburg: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.17.

Goals by minute

Nürnberg: 31-45+ (4 goals). Wolfsburg: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

2. Bundesliga: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Nürnberg have won 4 of their last 5 matches and remain unbeaten this season, while Wolfsburg have recorded 3 wins and suffered one defeat over the same period. At home, the hosts have won all 3 matches, scoring an average of 3 goals and conceding 0.67; away from home, the visitors average 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Wolfsburg create slightly better scoring chances, with an away xG of 1.96 compared with Nürnberg’s 1.86 at home, but the hosts are more clinical in front of goal, converting 16% of their shots compared with 11%. Nürnberg’s defence also supports the case for a home win: their home xG against is 1.22, while Wolfsburg’s away xG against stands at 1.64. The visitors have scored an impressive 18 goals in their last 5 matches and could pose a threat to the hosts, but the 9 goals they have conceded over that period increase Nürnberg’s chances of winning.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal in favor of both teams scoring is that Nürnberg and Wolfsburg have each recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches. During that period, they scored an average of 2.4 and 3.6 goals respectively, while Wolfsburg conceded 1.8 goals per match, boosting the hosts’ chances of finding the net. Their attacking potential is supported by average xG of 1.99 for Nürnberg and 1.96 for Wolfsburg, along with 6.0 and 6.67 shots on target per match respectively. Some caution is warranted, however: Wolfsburg’s BTTS rate for the season is just 33%, compared with 67% for the hosts, and both teams kept a clean sheet in 33% of their matches. Even so, the current scoring form of both attacks and their recent run of matches with goals at both ends point to BTTS - Yes.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

In their last 5 matches, Nürnberg averaged 2,4 goals scored and Wolfsburg 3,6; matches involving the two teams went Over 2.5 goals in 80% of cases. Their attacking potential is backed up by average xG of 1,99 for the home side and 1,96 for the away side, as well as 6,0 and 6,67 shots on target per match, respectively. At the same time, Wolfsburg have conceded an average of 1,8 goals recently, compared with 1,0 for Nürnberg, which favors both teams getting on the scoresheet. The projected total of 3,65 goals points to a high-scoring game, but Over 1.5 goals offers the strongest signal: I rate it at 88%, compared with 71% for Over 2.5.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is Nürnberg leading at the break: they did so in 2 of 3 home matches, scoring an average of 1.67 goals before half-time, while Wolfsburg were level at half-time in 2 of 3 away matches. The hosts average 3.0 goals per home match and have won 4 of their last 5 games without losing any. Nürnberg’s average of 1.33 goals after the break in home matches also supports them holding on to their lead, although Wolfsburg conceded only 0.33 goals in the second halves of away matches. The visitors remain dangerous—scoring an average of 3.6 goals across their last 5 matches and leading at the break 4 times—so the hosts’ advantage is not decisive, but the 1/1 scenario has the strongest support in the data.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
4 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
NürnbergWolfsburg
21Shots22
NürnbergWolfsburg
8Shots on target9
NürnbergWolfsburg
2.2xG2.31
NürnbergWolfsburg
6Corners6
NürnbergWolfsburg
44Dangerous attacks42
NürnbergWolfsburg
10Fouls24
NürnbergWolfsburg
3Cards3
NürnbergWolfsburg

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NürnbergWolfsburg
2.67Goals scored / match2.5
NürnbergWolfsburg
1Goals conceded / match1.33
NürnbergWolfsburg
57%Average possession58%
NürnbergWolfsburg
6.67Shots on target / match6.33
NürnbergWolfsburg

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.67Shots per match18.67
NürnbergWolfsburg
6.67Shots on target6.33
NürnbergWolfsburg
16%Shot conversion13.4%
NürnbergWolfsburg
57%Possession58%
NürnbergWolfsburg
1.77xG for1.97
NürnbergWolfsburg
1.29xG against1.58
NürnbergWolfsburg

Shooting quality

Nürnberg: DominantWolfsburg: Dominant
NürnbergWolfsburg
Accuracy (shots on target)40%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Nürnberg is 30% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / match - Nürnberg · 2 pts / match - Wolfsburg

Nürnberg
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
83% W17% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-0
2.67 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.76Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Wolfsburg
WWDLW
Season result split
50% W33% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-1
1.83 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
WWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.99Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nürnberg is 7% better for: goals scored per match.

2.67 goals / match - Nürnberg · 2.5 goals / match - Wolfsburg

Nürnberg is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Nürnberg · 1.33 goals / match - Wolfsburg

Nürnberg scoring profile: very strong

Nürnberg scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Wolfsburg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Wolfsburg scoring profile: strong

Wolfsburg scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Nürnberg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

16Goals scored (season)15
NürnbergWolfsburg
6Goals conceded (season)8
NürnbergWolfsburg
3.67Average goals in match3.83
NürnbergWolfsburg
13Goals scored (last 5)15
NürnbergWolfsburg
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
NürnbergWolfsburg

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
NürnbergWolfsburg
83%2 goals50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
50%3 goals50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
33%4 goals50%
NürnbergWolfsburg

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
NürnbergWolfsburg
33%2 goals33%
NürnbergWolfsburg
0%3 goals17%
NürnbergWolfsburg
0%4 goals17%
NürnbergWolfsburg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
17%BTTS in both halves17%
NürnbergWolfsburg
83%Scored in both halves50%
NürnbergWolfsburg

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NürnbergWolfsburg
80%BTTS - last 560%
NürnbergWolfsburg

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
83%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
NürnbergWolfsburg

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
NürnbergWolfsburg
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
NürnbergWolfsburg

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Nürnberg - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
Wolfsburg - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)2
NürnbergWolfsburg
1.67Goals scored (1st half)1.33
NürnbergWolfsburg
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
NürnbergWolfsburg
2.33Average goals (1st half)2
NürnbergWolfsburg
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
NürnbergWolfsburg
0%No goal before half-time50%
NürnbergWolfsburg

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.67
NürnbergWolfsburg
1Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
NürnbergWolfsburg
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
NürnbergWolfsburg
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.83
NürnbergWolfsburg
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
NürnbergWolfsburg
17%No goal after half-time33%
NürnbergWolfsburg

Nürnberg - second-half results

50% W50% D0% L
12
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding166%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 83%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Wolfsburg - second-half results

50% W17% D33% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Nürnberg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.80
Goals scored / match1.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match2.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
Wolfsburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.80
Goals scored / match1.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.42.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Nürnberg
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
4
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Wolfsburg
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.75
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Nürnberg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.90
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Wolfsburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.53
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
170%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).

Teams vs league

NürnbergLigaWolfsburg
Average goals in match▲ 3.673.20▲ 3.83
Both teams scored▲ 67%61%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%63%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 33%22%▲ 33%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%80%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%80%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.20
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
10%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. WolfsburgGoalHauke WahlAssist: Mathys Angely
  2. NürnbergYellow cardMohamed Alì ZOma
  3. NürnbergGoalPiet Lasse ScobelAssist: Rayan Ghrieb
  4. WolfsburgYellow cardHauke Wahl
  5. WolfsburgSubstitutionOn: Elvis RexhbecajOff: Yannick Gerhardt
  6. NürnbergGoalMohamed Alì ZOmaAssist: Eric Porstner
  7. WolfsburgYellow cardMathys Angely
  8. WolfsburgSubstitutionOn: Maximilian ArnoldOff: Vinicius de Souza Costa
  9. WolfsburgYellow cardKento Shiogai
  10. NürnbergYellow cardAlexios Kalogeropoulos
  11. NürnbergYellow cardGiannis Masouras
  12. WolfsburgGoalAlessio Besio
  13. NürnbergGoalGiannis MasourasAssist: Adam Marhiev
  14. WolfsburgGoalAlessio Besio

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg?

The 2. Bundesliga match finished Nürnberg 4:4 Wolfsburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg?

Nürnberg score 2.67 goals per game on average and Wolfsburg 2.50. The 2. Bundesliga average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Nürnberg's matches and 50% of Wolfsburg's.

What form are Nürnberg and Wolfsburg in?

Over the last 5 games Nürnberg have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Wolfsburg 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.