NY Cosmos vs Alta: match statistics

Alta sit 6th, while NY Cosmos are only 17th. Over the course of the season, the visitors have recorded 8 wins and scored 32 goals, compared with just 3 wins and 18 goals for the hosts. Current form also favors Alta: they have collected 7 points and scored 9 goals in their last five matches, whereas Cosmos have failed to win any of their games, earning 2 points and scoring just 2 goals. At home, the hosts do create chances worth an average of 1.56 xG, but they concede 1.56 goals per match, and their home advantage is not particularly pronounced, with a 33% win rate. Alta also have defensive issues away from home, allowing opponents an average of 1.84 xG and losing 50% of their matches, so a draw remains a realistic outcome. However, their superior finishing and significantly better recent trend give the visitors the strongest chances of securing the win.

The BTTS - No scenario is slightly more likely, primarily due to NY Cosmos’ clear decline in finishing efficiency: in their last 5 matches, the team scored just 2 goals, averaging 0.4 per game. Alta averaged 1.8 goals scored during this period, while Cosmos conceded 1.6, making an away goal highly plausible but not guaranteeing a home goal. Cosmos kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season, while Alta failed to score in 30% of games, further increasing the likelihood that at least one side will finish the match without scoring. Season-long BTTS rates of 50% for Cosmos and 70% for Alta are favorable for both teams to score, but the current figures of 40% and 60%, combined with the hosts’ poor recent run, shift the assessment toward BTTS - No.

The goals profile points to at least two goals: the home team’s matches went over 1.5 goals in 75% of cases, while Alta’s matches did so in 70%. Alta concede an average of 1.60 goals away from home, whereas the hosts score 1.67 at home, giving the home side a solid foundation to find the net. The visitors have been more effective recently, averaging 1.8 goals in their previous five matches, while the hosts conceded 1.6 goals per game during this period. The combined xG figures are high on both sides: the hosts create an average of 1.73 xG and Alta 1.41 xG, alongside elevated opponent xG conceded figures of 1.84 and 1.47, respectively. Over 1.5 goals is therefore the strongest option, as it requires only two goals, while the Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 lines are more vulnerable due to the hosts’ recent lack of finishing, with just 2 goals scored in their last five appearances.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Alta win, as both teams frequently go into the break level: a draw after 45 minutes occurred in 60% of Cosmos’s last five matches and in 75% of Alta’s. Cosmos failed to score a single first-half goal during this run and averaged only 0.4 goals per match overall, whereas Alta averaged 1.8 goals. After the interval, the visitors’ superior current form is clear: Alta averaged 1.5 goals in the second halves of their last five matches, while Cosmos conceded 1.2 goals in those periods. The hosts’ season-long defensive figures are solid, as they concede only 0.83 goals per home match, but their ongoing five-match winless run and 60% loss rate support a result in favour of the visitors after half-time.