NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence: match statistics
NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
NY Cosmos played Charlotte Independence in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
NY Cosmos: 1-0-3, 0.75 points/match. Charlotte Independence: 1-1-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
NY Cosmos scores 1.50 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. Charlotte Independence scores 2.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: NY Cosmos 75%, Charlotte Independence 50%. Over 2.5: NY Cosmos 75%, Charlotte Independence 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.27. NY Cosmos: 10.3 shots per match, Charlotte Independence: 18.0.
Match halves
NY Cosmos: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
NY Cosmos: 16-30 (2 goals). Charlotte Independence: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Charlotte Independence appear to be favorites for this match: in their last 5 games they have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and scored 13 goals, while NY Cosmos in their last 5 have only 1 win and 4 losses and conceded 11 goals. The difference in chance creation is significant — the visitors average 20 shots and 5 on target away with 61% possession and an average xG of 1.81, whereas the home side at home average 8 shots and 4.5 on target, 34% possession and xG 1.19. Defensively Cosmos are more exposed, conceding 1.5 goals per home game on average (xG against 1.64), while Charlotte concede 1.0 goals away (xG against 0.94). Cosmos have higher efficiency at home (conversion 19% and on average 1.5 goals per game and 50% clean sheets), but given Charlotte’s superiority in shot volume, quality of chances (xG 1.81 vs 1.19) and better form (average points in the last 5 matches 2.0 for Charlotte vs 0.6 for Cosmos), I back the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS at 80%. The home side averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 2.2, while the away side scores 2.6 and concedes 1.2. xG reflects a similar offensive dynamic: xG is 1.74 for NY Cosmos and 1.81 for Charlotte, with xG against at 1.36 and 0.94, meaning both teams create over 1.7 xG per game and have realistic chances to score. Additionally, both teams register a high volume of shots (averaging 16 and 20) and 5 shots on target each, while the home side’s conversion rate of 25% versus the away side’s 5% suggests even fewer on-target attempts can translate into goals. Despite seasonal contradictions — home team seasonally shows 0% BTTS and 100% clean sheets, and the away team 100% BTTS — the form over the last 5 matches is more important, where both sides consistently concede and allow goals from both ends. Based on this, I favor BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 78% versus 22% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A Poisson model based on xG (NY Cosmos xG_for 1.74, Charlotte xG_for 1.81; xG_against: Cosmos 1.36, Charlotte 0.94) yields expected goals: Cosmos ≈1.34 and Charlotte ≈1.59, totaling ≈2.93. From this distribution the probabilities are: Over 1.5 ≈79%, Over 2.5 ≈56% and Over 3.5 ≈34%. Additionally, seasonally Cosmos average 4.0 goals per match from 16 shots with a 25% conversion rate, and in the last 5 matches Cosmos scored 7 goals (1.4/match) while Charlotte scored 13 goals (2.6/match), with Over 2.5 occurring in 80% of those games. Considering the xG, the hosts’ high conversion rate and both teams’ scoring form, I back Over 2.5 goals as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
NY Cosmos led at the break in 100% of their matches (1 of 1), averaging 3.0 goals in the first half and conceding none (0.0), while Charlotte were trailing at half-time in 100% (1 of 1) and averaged 0.0 HT goals. Over the season the home side averages 4.0 goals per game versus Charlotte’s 1.0, and at home they have a 100% win rate (3 points) and 100% clean sheets, which strongly favors NY Cosmos for the Full-Time result. xG is 1.74 for the hosts versus 1.81 for the visitors, but shot conversion is 25.0% for Cosmos against 5.0% for Charlotte, so similar xG translates into more goals for the hosts. Charlotte have better overall form (last 5 matches: 60% wins for the away side vs 20% for the home side) and are capable of turnarounds after the break, therefore a Half-Time draw is possible but less likely. Given the hosts’ consistent HT leads and higher efficiency, I selected HT/FT 1/1 as the most secure scenario (58%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| NY Cosmos | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Charlotte Independence is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.75 pts / match - NY Cosmos · 2 pts / match - Charlotte Independence
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Charlotte Independence is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - NY Cosmos · 2.5 goals / match - Charlotte Independence
Charlotte Independence is 350% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.25 goals / match - NY Cosmos · 0.5 goals / match - Charlotte Independence
NY Cosmos scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).
Charlotte Independence scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - NY Cosmos
Over / Under - Charlotte Independence
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Charlotte Independence is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - NY Cosmos · 1.5 pts / match - Charlotte Independence
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
NY Cosmos - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Charlotte Independence - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
NY Cosmos
Charlotte Independence
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| NY Cosmos | Liga | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 2.72 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence?
The USL League One match finished NY Cosmos 3:2 Charlotte Independence. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence?
NY Cosmos score 1.50 goals per game on average and Charlotte Independence 2.50. The USL League One average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 75% of NY Cosmos's matches and 50% of Charlotte Independence's.
What form are NY Cosmos and Charlotte Independence in?
Over the last 5 games NY Cosmos have a 1-0-3 record (0.75 points per game) and Charlotte Independence 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NY Cosmos vs Charlotte Independence?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.