United States - USL League OneMCU ParkData current as of 01 September 2026

NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics

Reasoning:

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NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

NY Cosmos play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 2 September 2026. Venue: MCU Park.

Current form

NY Cosmos: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

NY Cosmos scores 1.14 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 1.05 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.96 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: NY Cosmos 59%, Sarasota Paradise 59%. Over 2.5: NY Cosmos 68%, Sarasota Paradise 55%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

NY Cosmos has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.49. NY Cosmos: 12.7 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.9.

Match halves

NY Cosmos: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.82. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

NY Cosmos: 46-60 (8 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.96 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
1.14Goals scored / match1.05
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
2Goals conceded / match1.64
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
47%Average possession49%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
4.32Shots on target / match4.09
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.68Shots per match12.91
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
4.32Shots on target4.09
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
9%Shot conversion8.1%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
47%Possession49%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
1.55xG for1.49
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
1.61xG against1.42
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

Shooting quality

NY Cosmos: BalancedSarasota Paradise: Balanced
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
Accuracy (shots on target)34%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NY Cosmos is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - NY Cosmos · 1 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise

NY Cosmos
LWWDD
Season result split
23% W18% R59% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-13
0.86 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Sarasota Paradise
DLLWD
Season result split
27% W18% R55% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-12
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-8
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.70Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NY Cosmos is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.14 goals / match - NY Cosmos · 1.05 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise

Sarasota Paradise is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - NY Cosmos · 1.64 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise

NY Cosmos scoring profile: very strong

NY Cosmos scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

Sarasota Paradise scoring profile: very strong

Sarasota Paradise scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while NY Cosmos keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).

25Goals scored (season)23
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
44Goals conceded (season)36
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
3.14Average goals in match2.68
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
7Goals scored (last 5)6
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal73%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
27%2 goals27%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
9%3 goals5%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
0%4 goals0%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

How often they concede at least...

77%1 goal77%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
73%2 goals55%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
45%3 goals23%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
5%4 goals9%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
Sarasota Paradise - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.13 of 22 matches
59%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time18%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
9%BTTS in both halves0%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
23%Scored in both halves9%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
40%BTTS - last 580%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
45%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time59%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sarasota Paradise is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / match - NY Cosmos · 1.09 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise

NY Cosmos - half-time state
9% leading45% draw45% trailing
Sarasota Paradise - half-time state
18% leading55% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per match (1st half)1.09
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.41
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
1.32Average goals (1st half)1.05
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
41%Clean sheet before half-time64%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
73%No goal before half-time68%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)0.95
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
1Goals conceded (2nd half)1
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
1.82Average goals (2nd half)1.64
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
41%Clean sheet after half-time32%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise
27%No goal after half-time50%
NY CosmosSarasota Paradise

NY Cosmos - second-half results

36% W23% R41% P
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding256%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sarasota Paradise - second-half results

23% W27% R50% P
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

NY Cosmos - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Sarasota Paradise - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.61.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

NY Cosmos
ScoredConceded
1
7
0-15
4
6
16-30
2
9
31-45
8
11
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Sarasota Paradise
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
3
5
16-30
5
4
31-45
5
6
46-60
5
6
61-75
4
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.92
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

NY Cosmos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.80
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
171%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.74
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Sarasota Paradise

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

NY CosmosLigaSarasota Paradise
Average goals in match 3.142.96 2.68
Both teams scored 59%59% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 68%61% 55%
Clean sheets 23%23% 23%
Goal before half-time 68%73% 50%
Goal after half-time 91%81% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.96
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.79
Home goals / match
1.17
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+29%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: NY Cosmos 0 - 0 - 1 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do NY Cosmos and Sarasota Paradise play?

NY Cosmos face Sarasota Paradise on 2 September 2026 in USL League One at MCU Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

NY Cosmos score 1.14 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 1.05. The USL League One average is 2.96 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 59% of NY Cosmos's matches and 59% of Sarasota Paradise's.

What form are NY Cosmos and Sarasota Paradise in?

Over the last 5 games NY Cosmos have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.