NY Cosmos vs Westchester SC: match statistics

NY Cosmos have a clearly more favorable home profile: they average 1.18 goals and create chances worth 1.67 xG, while Westchester SC concede as many as 2.15 goals per away match. The visitors have not won a single away game, have lost 77% of such matches, and have kept a clean sheet in only 8% of them. Cosmos are not in consistent form either, having collected 5 points and conceded 10 goals in their last five matches, but Westchester lost 4 of their 5 games over the same period and conceded 13 goals. At home, the hosts average 13.91 shots per match compared with the visitors’ 11.92 away from home, while their 5.27 shots on target should be enough to exploit the weaknesses in the opposition’s defence. The risk of a draw remains noticeable due to Cosmos conceding an average of 1.45 goals at home; however, home advantage and Westchester’s very poor away record point to a home win.

The case for goals from both sides is reinforced by current form: BTTS - Yes occurred in 100% of NY Cosmos’ last 5 matches and in 80% of Westchester SC’s games. During this period, NY Cosmos averaged 2.0 goals scored but also conceded 2.0, while Westchester scored 1.6 goals and allowed opponents as many as 2.6 goals per match. The visitors have a lower season-long scoring average of 0.92 and failed to score in 54% of matches, which limits confidence in the pick, but their recent xG stands at 1.72, compared with 1.71 xG conceded on average by the hosts. Cosmos should, however, be able to exploit Westchester’s weak defense, which keeps a clean sheet in only 8% of matches and concedes an average of 2.15 goals. Therefore, the scenario in which both teams score is more likely.

NY Cosmos average 2.25 goals at home, while Westchester SC concede as many as 2.15 goals per away match, clearly favouring goals for the home side. In their last five matches, Cosmos scored and conceded 2.0 goals per game, whereas Westchester scored 1.6 but allowed their opponents 2.6 goals. Both teams recorded Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last five matches, while games with at least two goals occurred in 83% of Cosmos matches and 69% of Westchester matches this season. Additionally, the average xG from the last five matches stands at 1.92 for the home side and 1.72 for the visitors, making Over 1.5 goals the strongest option given the very high probability of at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is NY Cosmos leading at the break and securing the win after the final whistle, as the hosts took the lead in 58% of their matches, while Westchester SC were trailing at half-time in 62%. NY Cosmos score an average of 1.25 goals before the break and concede just 0.58, whereas the visitors manage only 0.46 goals in this period and allow opponents to score 1.23. The quality gap over the full 90 minutes is also clear: the hosts average 2.25 goals per match, while Westchester concede 2.15 and have not won a single league fixture. The hosts have won 50% of their matches, compared with a 77% loss rate for the visitors, while their shot conversion rate stands at 16%, versus just 8% for Westchester. Cosmos’ recent form has been less consistent, but Westchester have lost 4 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.6 goals during that run, further supporting the 1/1 prediction.