O'Higgins vs Audax Italiano: match statistics
O'Higgins vs Audax Italiano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
O'Higgins played Audax Italiano in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
O'Higgins: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Audax Italiano: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
O'Higgins scores 1.43 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Audax Italiano scores 1.00 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: O'Higgins 57%, Audax Italiano 0%. Over 2.5: O'Higgins 57%, Audax Italiano 43%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
O'Higgins has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.02. O'Higgins: 11.6 shots per match, Audax Italiano: 9.9.
Match halves
O'Higgins: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.57. Audax Italiano: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
O'Higgins: 16-30 (3 goals). Audax Italiano: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is O'Higgins — the hosts have won 75% of their home matches and concede only 0.5 goals per game on average, while Audax has recorded no away wins (0% wins) and averages 0.0 goals scored (100% of away matches without a goal). O'Higgins score 1.0 goals per game at home with an xG of 1.18, whereas Audax has an away xG of 1.03, indicating both teams generate a similar volume of chances (on average 10.5 vs 10 shots and 3.75 vs 4.0 shots on target); both sides average 1.4 points per game over the last 5 matches. However, efficiency favors the hosts — O'Higgins conversion rate is 10% versus 0% for Audax away. Additionally, O'Higgins have 50% clean sheets at home and a home goal difference of +2, while Audax have an away goal difference of -4 and concede 1.33 goals on average. Considering the hosts' defensive edge and the visitors' lack of finishing, I tip an O'Higgins win; probability estimate is ~70% for the home side, ~18% for a draw and ~12% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess that the more likely scenario is 'No' (Both Teams To Score - No). O'Higgins has kept a clean sheet in 75% of matches this season and a seasonal BTTS rate of 0%, with an average goals conceded of 0.25 per game, which strongly favors a clean sheet for the home side. Audax also has a seasonal BTTS rate of 0%, a seasonal goals scored average of 0.0 and a shot conversion rate of 0.0%, meaning that despite a similar xG (1.01 vs 1.03) they suffer from significant finishing issues. In the last 5 matches the BTTS occurrence was 40% for O'Higgins and only 20% for Audax, while league-wide clean sheet rate is 59% with a 45% BTTS rate, further supporting 'No'. Based on these figures I assign a 75% probability to 'No' and 25% to 'Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Seasonal attacking xG are 1.01 for O'Higgins and 1.03 for Audax, while defensive xG against are 1.30 (O'Higgins) and 0.95 (Audax). Averaging season-long approach and form from the last 5 matches (last 5 attacking xG 1.15 and 1.07; last 5 xG against 1.37 and 1.25) I derived expected goals of 1.09 for the home side and 1.20 for the away side, totaling 2.29. With a combined λ=2.29 the Poisson distribution yields ~67% probability for Over 1.5 goals, ~40% for Over 2.5 and only ~20% for Over 3.5. Additionally, seasonal percentages of matches above 3.5 are 0% for both teams, while the league average is 2.52 goals per match, which supports the expectation of a moderate-scoring game. Therefore the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (about 80% probability), since the projected 2.29 goals and historical 0% over 3.5 materially limit the likelihood of four or more goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
O'Higgins led at the break in 50% of matches (leadingAtHT_home = 50.0%, 2 events) and before halftime they average 1.25 goals scored versus only 0.25 conceded (scoredAVGHT_home = 1.25, concededAVGHT_home = 0.25), which strongly favors them at Half-Time. This season the home side wins 75% of matches (winPercentage_home = 75.0%), while Audax has no wins (winPercentage_away = 0.0%) and concedes 1.33 goals per match on average (seasonConcededAVG_away = 1.33). Both teams’ xG are similar (home xG 1.01 vs away xG 1.03), but O'Higgins has a conversion rate of 18% versus Audax's 0% (shot_conversion_rate_home = 18.0, shot_conversion_rate_away = 0.0) and 75% clean sheets for the hosts (seasonCSPercentage_home = 75.0%), increasing the likelihood they will maintain their lead. On this basis the most likely scenario is a lead at the break and a home win (1/1) — I assess it at 45%, with alternatives being a draw at Half-Time and a later home win (X/1 16%) and a possible turnaround after the break (2/2 11%) considered less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| O'Higgins | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Audax Italiano is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - O'Higgins · 1.2 pts / match - Audax Italiano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
O'Higgins is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - O'Higgins · 1 goals / match - Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano is 121% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - O'Higgins · 0.71 goals / match - Audax Italiano
O'Higgins scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Audax Italiano keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Audax Italiano scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - O'Higgins
Over / Under - Audax Italiano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
O'Higgins is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - O'Higgins · 1.14 pts / match - Audax Italiano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
O'Higgins - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Audax Italiano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
O'Higgins
Audax Italiano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| O'Higgins | Liga | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.64 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 47% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▼ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): O'Higgins 1 - 0 - 1 Audax Italiano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of O'Higgins vs Audax Italiano?
The Primera División match finished O'Higgins 2:1 Audax Italiano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between O'Higgins and Audax Italiano?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches O'Higgins won 1, Audax Italiano won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before O'Higgins vs Audax Italiano?
O'Higgins score 1.43 goals per game on average and Audax Italiano 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 57% of O'Higgins's matches and 0% of Audax Italiano's.
What form are O'Higgins and Audax Italiano in?
Over the last 5 games O'Higgins have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Audax Italiano 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for O'Higgins vs Audax Italiano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.