O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción: match statistics
O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
O'Higgins played Univ. Concepción in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
O'Higgins: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Univ. Concepción: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
O'Higgins scores 1.55 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Univ. Concepción scores 0.82 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: O'Higgins 55%, Univ. Concepción 45%. Over 2.5: O'Higgins 55%, Univ. Concepción 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
O'Higgins has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.41. O'Higgins: 12.8 shots per match, Univ. Concepción: 13.1.
Match halves
O'Higgins: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73. Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
O'Higgins: 76-90+ (4 goals). Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
O'Higgins are the clear favorites in this matchup — at home they have a 67% win rate and score on average 1.0 goal per game (17 goals this season), with home xG of 1.46. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 7 goals and are averaging 2.0 points per game, while Univ. Concepción have only 4 goals in their last 5 and 1.2 points per game. The defensive differential is significant: O'Higgins concede 0.83 goals at home (xG against 1.11), whereas the visitors concede on average 2.6 goals away (xG against 1.93). The visitors have not won on the road this season (0% wins), score 0.6 goals per away game and have 40% goalless matches, while the hosts have a shot conversion rate of 7% and 33% goalless matches. Given these figures, I project a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Although both teams generate similar xG (O'Higgins 1.39 vs Univ. Concepción 1.43), their actual goals per game are significantly lower: home side 1.0, visitors 0.6. O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 50% of matches this season and over the last 5 games averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (7 for, 4 against), while Univ. Concepción in their last 5 averaged 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded (4 for, 10 against). The visitors have a seasonal BTTS of 60% and 0% clean sheets, but their conversion rate is low (4% vs the home 8%), which explains the seasonal 0.6 goals despite xG 1.43. In the league BTTS occurs in 45% of matches and clean sheets in 60%, so the overall competition trend favors No Goal; additionally O'Higgins has only 20% BTTS in the last 5. In sum: similar xG partially supports Goal/Goal, but the high clean sheet rate for the hosts (50%), the visitors' low away efficiency (4%) and the last 5 matches suggest a higher probability of No Goal, hence the pick 'No' 58% vs 'Yes' 42%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate goals based on xG: O'Higgins has xG_for 1.39 versus opponents’ xG_against 1.93, implying ~1.66 expected home goals; Univ. Concepción has xG_for 1.43 against home xG_against 1.31, implying ~1.37 away goals, totaling ~3.03 goals. Seasonal indicators confirm a scoring tendency — both teams have 100% of matches with at least 1 goal (Over 0.5), Univ. Concepción has 100% of matches Over 1.5, and Over 2.5 occurred for the home side in 50% and the away side in 60% of cases. In the last 5 matches O'Higgins scored 7 goals (1.4 avg) and conceded 4 (0.8), while Concepción scored 4 (0.8) and conceded 10 (2.0), which increases the likelihood of goal exchange. Shot stats show 12.5 shots and 4.17 on target for the home team (conversion 8%) and 13.8 and 4.0 for the visitors (conversion 4%), so with xG 1.39/1.43 a 2–3 goal contest is realistic. As a result I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (≈80% vs 20%), with moderate support for Over 2.5 (~58%) and low probability for Over 3.5 (~36%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
O'Higgins is clearly stronger at home: +2.0 points per game and 67% home wins versus +0.4 points and 0% away wins for Univ. Concepción. However, halftime statistics favor the visitors — Univ. Concepción have 8 first-half goals compared to the home side's 5 and have scored before the break in 100% of matches versus 67% for O'Higgins. After the break O'Higgins dominate: the hosts average 0.83 goals in second halves and have collected 11 points after halftime (1.83 points on average), while the visitors concede on average 1.6 goals in second halves, have a -8 goal difference and lose 80% of second halves. Both teams' xG are similar (1.39 vs 1.43), but the home side's shot conversion is higher (8% vs 4%), increasing the likelihood of a comeback after the break; therefore the strongest signal is Univ. Concepción leading at the break and O'Higgins winning the match (HT/FT = 2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| O'Higgins | Univ. Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
O'Higgins is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - O'Higgins · 1.2 pts / match - Univ. Concepción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
O'Higgins is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - O'Higgins · 0.82 goals / match - Univ. Concepción
O'Higgins is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - O'Higgins · 1.73 goals / match - Univ. Concepción
O'Higgins scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Univ. Concepción scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - O'Higgins
Over / Under - Univ. Concepción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
O'Higgins is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - O'Higgins · 0.91 pts / match - Univ. Concepción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
O'Higgins - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
O'Higgins
Univ. Concepción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| O'Higgins | Liga | Univ. Concepción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 46% | • 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción?
The Primera División match finished O'Higgins 0:1 Univ. Concepción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción?
O'Higgins score 1.55 goals per game on average and Univ. Concepción 0.82. The Primera División average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 55% of O'Higgins's matches and 45% of Univ. Concepción's.
What form are O'Higgins and Univ. Concepción in?
Over the last 5 games O'Higgins have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Univ. Concepción 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for O'Higgins vs Univ. Concepción?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.