Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive: match statistics
Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oakland Roots played El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Oakland Roots: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. El Paso Locomotive: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oakland Roots scores 1.75 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. El Paso Locomotive scores 2.38 and concedes 1.75. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oakland Roots 75%, El Paso Locomotive 75%. Over 2.5: Oakland Roots 63%, El Paso Locomotive 100%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.36. Oakland Roots: 11.3 shots per match, El Paso Locomotive: 14.0.
Match halves
Oakland Roots: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.75. El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Oakland Roots: 76-90+ (4 goals). El Paso Locomotive: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (El Paso) because they average 2.75 goals on the road with xG 1.62, while Oakland score 1.75 at home with xG 1.32. El Paso concede only 0.75 goals away and have a 50% clean sheet rate, whereas Oakland concede 1.25 at home and have 0% clean sheets. The visitors attempt more shots (13.5 vs 10.25) and more on target (5.75 vs 5) with a higher conversion rate of 20% versus the hosts’ 17%, indicating higher-quality chances. Oakland have, however, scored 10 and conceded 8 in their last 5 (1.4 points per game), while El Paso have 8 scored and 14 conceded (0.8 pts/game), suggesting short-term instability. Considering season-long indicators (El Paso away win rate 75% and +8 goal difference versus Oakland home win rate 50% and +2 difference) and the visitors’ recent fluctuations, I assign probabilities: El Paso 55%, draw 25%, Oakland 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes, because Oakland has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 100% in the last 5 matches, while El Paso, despite a seasonal 50%, has 100% BTTS in their last 5 games. Oakland concedes an average of 2.75 goals per game this season, and El Paso scores an average of 2.75, creating a strong offensive matchup; in the last 5 matches El Paso conceded 14 goals (avg 2.8), and Oakland scored 10 goals (avg 2.0). This is supported by xG and shot metrics: xG for the home side 1.7 vs 1.62 for the visitors, xG against 1.23 vs 1.54, average shots 14.5 and 13.5 and shots on target 6.0 and 5.75, indicating realistic scoring potential for both sides. Additionally both teams have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, and the hosts have no clean sheets (0%), which reduces the likelihood of No Goal. For these reasons I rate Yes as the more probable outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I back Over 2.5; expected goals approx. 1.62 for Oakland and 1.43 for El Paso, totaling 3.05 goals per game. Combined xG (1.7 + 1.62 = 3.32) and comparison of offensive xG vs xG_against (Oakland xG_against 1.23, El Paso xG_against 1.54) produce model averages of 1.62 and 1.43, which point to more than 2 goals. Season-long metrics show a strong goal bias: both teams have seasonOver25Percentage = 100%, and in the last 5 matches El Paso has 100% over2.5 while Oakland has 60%, further supporting the likelihood of >2.5. Additionally, Oakland has 100% BTTS for the season and 100% in the last 5, El Paso 50% for the season but 100% in the last 5; shots on target averages 6.0 vs 5.75 and conversion rates of 14%/20% indicate tangible goal threat. Therefore I assess Over 1.5 at 88%, Over 2.5 at 80% and Over 3.5 at 44% and I am playing Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
El Paso are clear favorites: they have a 75% win rate this season and average 2.5 points per match versus Oakland’s 25% and 1.0 point, indicating higher efficiency from the away side. The visitors led at the break in 3 of 4 matches (75%) and score on average 1.75 goals by half-time compared to the hosts’ 1.0; meanwhile the hosts concede on average 2.75 goals per match while El Paso concedes only 0.75, which favors the visitors taking and maintaining a lead. xG figures are similar (1.62 for El Paso vs 1.7 for Oakland), but the visitors’ shot conversion rate is 20% versus the hosts’ 14%, so comparable xG translates into more actual goals for El Paso. On this basis the strongest signal is the visitors leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes (2/2), hence the greatest weight in the forecast distribution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oakland Roots | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
El Paso Locomotive is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Oakland Roots · 1.4 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Oakland Roots · 2.38 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
Oakland Roots is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Oakland Roots · 1.75 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
Oakland Roots scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
El Paso Locomotive scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oakland Roots
Over / Under - El Paso Locomotive
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oakland Roots is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - Oakland Roots · 1.63 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oakland Roots - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 80% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oakland Roots
El Paso Locomotive
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Oakland Roots | Liga | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.13 | 2.73 | ▲ 4.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 56% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Oakland Roots 2 - 1 - 1 El Paso Locomotive. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive?
The USL Championship match finished Oakland Roots 2:1 El Paso Locomotive. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oakland Roots and El Paso Locomotive?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 2, El Paso Locomotive won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive?
Oakland Roots score 1.75 goals per game on average and El Paso Locomotive 2.38. The USL Championship average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Oakland Roots's matches and 75% of El Paso Locomotive's.
What form are Oakland Roots and El Paso Locomotive in?
Over the last 5 games Oakland Roots have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and El Paso Locomotive 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oakland Roots vs El Paso Locomotive?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.