Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights: match statistics
Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oakland Roots played Las Vegas Lights in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 23 April 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Oakland Roots: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Las Vegas Lights: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oakland Roots scores 1.33 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Las Vegas Lights scores 1.50 and concedes 1.83. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oakland Roots 67%, Las Vegas Lights 83%. Over 2.5: Oakland Roots 50%, Las Vegas Lights 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Oakland Roots has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.25. Oakland Roots: 10.5 shots per match, Las Vegas Lights: 9.7.
Match halves
Oakland Roots: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Las Vegas Lights: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Oakland Roots: 0-15 (3 goals). Las Vegas Lights: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oakland Roots have the home advantage: at home they concede on average 1.00 goal per game and have 0% clean sheets, while Las Vegas Lights concede on average 2.50 goals away, have a negative away goal difference of -3 and 0% away wins. The visitors score more on the road (1.75 goals on average) and are more efficient in conversion (21% vs 10% for the hosts), but the hosts register more shots on target (4.67 vs 3.00) and have similar xG: 1.22 for Oakland vs 1.17 for Las Vegas. In the last 5 matches Oakland scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points per game (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), while Las Vegas scored 8 but conceded 10 and average 0.8 points per game (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses). The key advantage for the hosts is defensive stability at home and a higher number of on-target attempts with comparable xG, therefore I predict a home win ('1') with probabilities: 60% home, 25% draw, 15% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant signal for BTTS is that both teams have 80% BTTS in the last 5 matches (Oakland 80%, Las Vegas 80%), and Las Vegas has 100% BTTS for the season versus Oakland’s 50%. In the last 5 fixtures Oakland averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Las Vegas scores 1.6 and concedes 2.0, indicating consistent scoring and conceding by both sides (1.4/1.4 vs 1.6/2.0). xG confirms goal potential: Oakland has 1.41 xG versus Las Vegas’s 1.17 xG, and xG against is 0.86 for Oakland and 1.43 for Las Vegas, so both sides are capable of creating chances (1.41 vs 1.17 and 0.86 vs 1.43). Shot stats show Oakland averages 12.5 shots with 5.0 on target, and Las Vegas 8.25 with 3.0 on target, with conversion rates of 8% (Oakland) and 21% (Las Vegas), which increases the likelihood of at least one away goal. Considering the seasonal 100% BTTS for the away team, 80% BTTS for both teams in L5, and the goals and xG balance, I assess BTTS probability at 80% vs 20% for 'no', hence recommendation: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
After balancing attacking and defensive xG I obtain expected goals: Oakland 1.42 (1.41 attacking xG vs 1.43 opponent defensive xG → average 1.42), Las Vegas 1.02 (1.17 attacking xG vs 0.86 opponent defensive xG → average 1.02), total 2.44 goals, slightly below the league average 2.54. A Poisson model with λ=2.44 gives a theoretical probability of Over 1.5 goals around 70%, and seasonal stats confirm a tendency toward matches with at least 2 goals: Las Vegas has 100% of season matches >1.5, Oakland 50%. For the 2.5 line the model yields Over ≈44%, but Las Vegas has 75% season matches >2.5, and in the last 5 matches both teams exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of cases, so I give a slight edge to Over 2.5 (about 52%). The 3.5 line is unlikely to hit Over: the model gives Over ≈23%, Oakland has 0% season rate above 3.5, so I rate Under 3.5 highly (about 77%), even though Las Vegas has 75% such matches. I conclude the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (recommended bet), based on xG 1.42/1.02, Las Vegas seasonal 100% Over1.5 and a 3.0 goals combined average from the last 5 matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Oakland Roots at home average 2.0 goals per match and have won 50% of their home games, whereas Las Vegas Lights average only 0.25 goals on the road and suffer 75% losses, giving the hosts a clear advantage. xG metrics corroborate Oakland’s superiority: home xG 1.41 versus 1.17 for the visitors, and expected goals conceded 0.86 for Oakland versus 1.43 for Las Vegas, indicating the visitors are weaker defensively. After the break the hosts virtually do not concede (0.0 on average in the second half), while Las Vegas concedes 1.5 goals on average after the break and have conceded after the break in 100% of their matches, so I expect the decisive action to come in the second 45 minutes. In the last five matches Oakland led at the break in 60% of games and scored 1.0 goals on average before half-time, while Las Vegas averaged 0.6 goals by half-time; this increases the probability that the hosts will take the lead already in the first half. On this basis I assign the scenario of the hosts leading at the break and winning the match (1/1) a 47% probability, and the combined chances of an Oakland win (1/1 + X/1 + 2/1) are 72%, while an away win is unlikely (total 5%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oakland Roots | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oakland Roots is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Oakland Roots · 0.8 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Las Vegas Lights is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Oakland Roots · 1.5 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Oakland Roots is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Oakland Roots · 1.83 goals / match - Las Vegas Lights
Oakland Roots scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Las Vegas Lights keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Las Vegas Lights scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oakland Roots
Over / Under - Las Vegas Lights
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oakland Roots is 173% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.83 pts / match - Oakland Roots · 0.67 pts / match - Las Vegas Lights
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oakland Roots - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Las Vegas Lights - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oakland Roots
Las Vegas Lights
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Oakland Roots | Liga | Las Vegas Lights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.56 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Oakland Roots 1 - 2 - 1 Las Vegas Lights. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
The USL Championship match finished Oakland Roots 4:2 Las Vegas Lights. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oakland Roots and Las Vegas Lights?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 1, Las Vegas Lights won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
Oakland Roots score 1.33 goals per game on average and Las Vegas Lights 1.50. The USL Championship average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Oakland Roots's matches and 83% of Las Vegas Lights's.
What form are Oakland Roots and Las Vegas Lights in?
Over the last 5 games Oakland Roots have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Las Vegas Lights 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Oakland Roots vs Las Vegas Lights: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.