Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC: match statistics
Oakland Roots are displaying impressive home form with a 100% win record at home (2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) and an average of 2.2 points per game in their last five matches. The hosts stand out with high shooting efficiency in home games (22% shot conversion) and remain undefeated at their own stadium. Orange County SC, despite decent overall form (2 wins in the last 5 matches), perform significantly worse on the road—all three away matches have ended in draws (100% Draw%), highlighting their struggle to secure full points away from home. Additionally, the visitors' lower shooting efficiency on the road (11% conversion) and their ball possession advantage (56%) not necessarily translating into results, favor the hosts. Considering the goal difference (+1 for the hosts compared to 0 for the guests away) and Oakland Roots' excellent home streak, I expect a victory for the hosts, although Orange County may pose a tough challenge.
Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Oakland Roots played Orange County SC in USL Championship (United States). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Oakland Roots: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Orange County SC: 1-2-0, 1.67 points/match.
Goal statistics
Oakland Roots scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Orange County SC scores 1.00 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Oakland Roots 67%, Orange County SC 67%. Over 2.5: Oakland Roots 67%, Orange County SC 0%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Oakland Roots has higher xG: 1.32 vs 0.90. Oakland Roots: 11.7 shots per match, Orange County SC: 6.3.
Match halves
Oakland Roots: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67. Orange County SC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Oakland Roots: 31-45+ (2 goals). Orange County SC: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Oakland Roots are displaying impressive home form with a 100% win record at home (2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses) and an average of 2.2 points per game in their last five matches. The hosts stand out with high shooting efficiency in home games (22% shot conversion) and remain undefeated at their own stadium. Orange County SC, despite decent overall form (2 wins in the last 5 matches), perform significantly worse on the road—all three away matches have ended in draws (100% Draw%), highlighting their struggle to secure full points away from home. Additionally, the visitors' lower shooting efficiency on the road (11% conversion) and their ball possession advantage (56%) not necessarily translating into results, favor the hosts. Considering the goal difference (+1 for the hosts compared to 0 for the guests away) and Oakland Roots' excellent home streak, I expect a victory for the hosts, although Orange County may pose a tough challenge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal data points to an elevated BTTS risk: Orange County has a 100% BTTS rate and 0% clean sheets, while also recording no matches without a goal scored (FTS 0%). Oakland also has no matches without a goal (FTS 0%) and has significantly increased its offensive output in the last 5 games (2.2 goals per match, xG 1.46). Defensively, the hosts have a low average GA (0.5), but their xGA (1.33; in last5 1.43) suggests that opponents create chances against them, which, combined with Orange County's 4.0 shots on target per match, favors a goal for the visitors. Conversely, Orange County allows a high xGA (1.31) and does not keep clean sheets, which supports an Oakland goal despite their lower seasonal xG (0.73). Furthermore, both teams have a 60% BTTS rate in their last 5 matches, and the league is moderately conducive to BTTS (56%), strengthening the selection for "yes".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A goal model based on xG (Oakland xG for 0.73 vs xG against Orange County 1.31; Orange County xG for 1.24 vs xG against Oakland 1.33) and the form from the last 5 matches (xG for 1.46 and 1.35) yields a total of approximately 2.48 goals. Orange County generates significantly more chances (9.0 shots and 4.0 on target per match), but their shot conversion rate is moderate (11%), which limits the risk of a 'high-scoring' game. Historically this season, both teams have 100% of matches under 2.5 goals, which supports a low/medium goal scenario, even though Oakland has been involved in Over 2.5 matches more frequently in the last 5 games (80%). At the same time, BTTS rates are elevated (Oakland 50%, Orange County 100%), so the most realistic scorelines are 1-1/1-2/2-1, rather than a 4+ result. The strongest and safest signal from the data is the Under 3.5 line, because even with a forecast of ~2.5 goals, the probability of 4+ goals remains relatively low.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Oakland demonstrates clearly superior half-time metrics: a 50% lead rate and 50% draw rate at HT, with 0% of matches where they trailed, and an average of 0.0 goals conceded in the first half. Orange County, on a seasonal basis, has been losing at half-time in 100% of matches and has a 0% clean sheet rate at HT, supporting the scenario of the hosts' advantage before the break. Simultaneously, the visitors are extremely 'draw-prone' at full-time (100% draws, 0% losses) and generate more chances (xG for 1.24 and 4.0 shots on target vs. Oakland's 0.73 and 1.5), which increases the likelihood of a comeback after halftime. Second-half data also suggests a stronger finish by Orange County (100% second-half win rate and 100% second-half clean sheet rate), favoring a turnaround rather than an outright loss. First-half goal averages are low (AVGHT 0.5 for Oakland, 1.0 for Orange County; no over 1.5 HT for either), making a narrow Oakland lead at the break and a draw at FT the most coherent variant.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Oakland Roots | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Oakland Roots is 40% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Oakland Roots · 1.67 pts / match - Orange County SC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Oakland Roots is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Oakland Roots · 1 goals / match - Orange County SC
Orange County SC is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Oakland Roots · 0.67 goals / match - Orange County SC
Oakland Roots scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Orange County SC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Orange County SC scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Oakland Roots keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Oakland Roots
Over / Under - Orange County SC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Oakland Roots is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Oakland Roots · 1.33 pts / match - Orange County SC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Oakland Roots - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Orange County SC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 67% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Oakland Roots
Orange County SC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Oakland Roots | Liga | Orange County SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.83 | ▼ 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 59% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Oakland Roots 3 - 0 - 1 Orange County SC. Average goals 3.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?
The USL Championship match finished Oakland Roots 0:1 Orange County SC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Oakland Roots and Orange County SC?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Oakland Roots won 3, Orange County SC won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?
Oakland Roots score 1.67 goals per game on average and Orange County SC 1.00. The USL Championship average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Oakland Roots's matches and 67% of Orange County SC's.
What form are Oakland Roots and Orange County SC in?
Over the last 5 games Oakland Roots have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Orange County SC 1-2-0 (1.67 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oakland Roots vs Orange County SC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.