OB vs København: match statistics

København sit 4th and have won 4 of their 5 league matches, while OB are eighth with a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats. The visitors are clearly more clinical: they have scored 13 goals in 5 matches, including 11 in their last five, compared with just 5 goals for OB throughout the season. København average 2.33 goals per away match and convert 19% of their shots, whereas OB, despite averaging 16.5 attempts and 57% possession at home, turn only 6% of their efforts into goals. The hosts create promising chances in terms of quality, with an average home xG of 1.73 compared with København’s 1.39 away from home, but their recent form stands at just 1 win in 5 matches and 7 goals conceded. The visitors’ away defence does concede 1.67 goals per match, so OB should have opportunities, but København’s superior current run — 3 wins in their last 5 rounds — points to an away victory.

A scenario with goals from both sides is slightly more likely, as OB has recorded BTTS in 100% of matches in the current data and in 80% of their last five games. The hosts have kept no clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.50 goals, while their recent xG against stands at a high 1.97, strengthening København’s chances of scoring. København averages 2.33 goals, including 2.20 across their last five matches, with an xG of 1.78 against OB’s defence. The only risks to this pick are København’s 40% BTTS rate in their last five matches and their 33% clean-sheet rate. However, OB allows an average of 7 shots on target and generates 2.04 xG at home. This gives BTTS - Yes a moderate but clear edge over BTTS - No, meaning the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have gone above this line in 100% of their league matches so far. OB play an open style: their games this season have produced an average of 4.50 goals, and the team have yet to keep a clean sheet. København score an average of 2.33 goals per match, while OB’s defence has allowed opponents an average xG of 1.97 over their last five outings, which supports the expectation of at least two goals in the game. The visitors’ scoring form is also solid, having netted 11 goals in their last five matches, while the games involving both teams have ended Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of cases, respectively. The 2.5 line also has merit, but the advantage of Over 1.5 is clearer and less dependent on maintaining an exceptionally high conversion rate.

København are in clearly stronger current form: they have won 60% of their last five matches and averaged 2.2 goals, while OB have won only 20% and scored 1.2 goals per game. The visitors held a lead at the break in 60% of their last five appearances, and in the current away-season data this figure rises to 67%, reinforcing the scenario of them taking the lead before half-time. After the break, København have recently averaged 1.0 goals scored and conceded just 0.4, whereas OB have scored only 0.2 goals and allowed opponents 0.8. OB create a high xG of 2.04 at home, but København defend solidly away, allowing an xG of just 1.22. Therefore, the hosts may respond with a goal, but they may not necessarily complete the turnaround. The most likely outcome remains København taking the lead before half-time and holding it until the final whistle.