Odd vs Bryne: match statistics

Odd have the home advantage: they score an average of 2.17 goals and concede 1.08 at home, while Bryne score and concede 1.25 goals per away match. The hosts also create more chances — their average home xG is 1.87, compared with Bryne’s away xG of 1.56 — and register 6 shots on target per match to their opponents’ 5. However, Bryne have won 4 of their last five matches and conceded just 3 goals, which reduces confidence in backing an Odd win; in the same period, Odd won 3 matches and conceded 8 goals. Another factor in the hosts’ favour is that Bryne have failed to score in 50% of their away games, while Odd have drawn a blank in just 17% of their home matches. Odd’s home goal difference is +13, compared with Bryne’s away goal difference of 0, so despite the visitors’ good form, a home win is the most likely outcome.

The strongest indication against both teams scoring comes from Bryne’s matches: BTTS occurred in 17% of them, and the visitors failed to score in 50% of their games. By comparison, Odd have a season BTTS rate of 50% and failed to score in only 17% of matches, so the greater uncertainty is around whether Bryne will find the net. Recent form argues against the BTTS - No pick: Odd recorded BTTS in each of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 1.6 goals in those games, while Bryne scored an average of 2.2 goals. However, the visitors also maintained a low BTTS rate over this period — 20% — and conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per match. Therefore, despite a genuine chance of a Bryne goal, the likelier scenario remains that at least one team will fail to score.

At least 2 goals were scored in 75% of matches involving either team, giving Over 1.5 stronger support from season data than higher goal lines. Odd average 1.5 goals scored per match, while Bryne average 1.25; both teams also concede 1.33 and 1.25 goals per match, respectively. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 1.58 for Odd and 1.56 for Bryne, although the visitors have failed to score in 50% of their matches, which limits confidence in the forecast. Over their last 5 matches, Odd averaged 2.6 goals scored and Bryne 2.2, so despite the risk of the visitors failing to score, the projected total of 2.75 goals supports backing Over 1.5.

The strongest indication that Bryne will lead at the break comes from their last five matches: the visitors led in three of them and did not concede a first-half goal in any, while Odd conceded an average of 1.0 goal before half-time. Bryne have also won four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 0.6; Odd have won three of five but conceded an average of 1.6 goals. I therefore rate the visitors leading at half-time and holding on to win as the single most likely scenario. The edge is not substantial, however: Odd led at the break in 50% of their matches this season, compared with 25% for Bryne, so outcomes involving a home win remain plausible.