Odisha FC vs Mohammedan: match statistics
Odisha FC vs Mohammedan: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Odisha FC played Mohammedan in Indian Super League (India). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Odisha FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mohammedan: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Odisha FC scores 1.17 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Mohammedan scores 0.43 and concedes 2.86. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Odisha FC 67%, Mohammedan 43%. Over 2.5: Odisha FC 50%, Mohammedan 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Odisha FC has higher xG: 1.14 vs 0.89. Odisha FC: 9.5 shots per match, Mohammedan: 6.7.
Match halves
Odisha FC: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67. Mohammedan: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.14.
Goals by minute
Odisha FC: 61-75 (3 goals). Mohammedan: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Indian Super League: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Odisha FC holds the advantage in key metrics: the home side have scored 7 goals this season and 7 in the last 5 matches, while Mohammedan have only 3 goals this season and 3 in their last 5, and the 11th vs 14th positions confirm the gap. The most important edge for Odisha is their home defence — they concede just 0.5 goals per game on average and keep clean sheets in 50% of matches, whereas Mohammedan concede 3.2 goals on average away, have 0% clean sheets and a -14 goal difference on the road. In terms of chance quality the hosts average 9.5 shots and 1.5 on target per home match with xG 1.1, while Mohammedan register 5.2 shots and 1.2 on target away with xG 0.74, so Odisha is creating more opportunities despite lower conversion (5% vs 8%). Recent form also favors the hosts: Odisha are 1-1-3 in their last 5 with 0.8 points per match, whereas Mohammedan have lost all 5 recent matches and have 0 points, conceding 17 goals in those five games. Considering the home defensive advantage, higher chance creation (9.5 vs 5.2) and the visitors’ significantly poorer defensive metrics, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have serious defensive issues: Odisha concedes an average of 2.0 goals per match this season and 2.2 in the last 5, while Mohammedan concedes 3.2 this season and 3.4 in the last 5. Offensively Odisha records 0.5 goals per match season-to-date, but in the last 5 they average 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.26 from 10.5 shots and 3.5 on target, whereas Mohammedan has 0.4 goals season-to-date, 0.6 in the last 5 and xG 0.74 from 5.2 shots and 1.2 on target. BTTS stats align with this scenario: Odisha had BTTS in 50% of matches this season and as much as 80% in the last 5, Mohammedan 40% season-to-date and 60% in the last 5, while the league BTTS level is 56%. Additionally both teams have 0% clean sheets this season, and in the last 5 Odisha conceded 11 goals and Mohammedan 17, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Based on these specific numbers I assess the probability of BTTS at 72% vs 28%, therefore I select "BTTS - Yes" as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and a defense/host matchup yields total expected goals of approximately 3.18 (1.96 for Odisha and 1.22 for Mohammedan), calculated as the average of home attack xG 1.26 and xG against the away defense 2.65, and the average of away attack xG 0.74 and xG against the home defense 1.70. Odisha averages 10.5 shots per match with 3.5 on target, while Mohammedan has 5.2 shots and 1.2 on target, indicating a home advantage in chance creation. Seasonal percentages show 100% of Odisha matches Over 1.5 goals and 60% for Mohammedan; for the 2.5 line we have 50% for the home side and 60% for the away side, and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 stands at 60% and 80% respectively. Both teams concede a lot — Odisha 2.0 per match on average, Mohammedan 3.2 — which increases the probability of more than 2.5 goals, but season Over 3.5 is 0% for Odisha and 40% for Mohammedan, and the 3.18 projection is below 3.5. Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, with moderate support for Over 2.5 and a preference for Under 3.5 as a hedge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time the statistics favor Mohammedan: Odisha averages 0.0 goals scored and concedes 2.0 goals by the break, whereas Mohammedan scores 0.4 and concedes 1.6, with total first-half goals amounting to 4 for Odisha and 10 for Mohammedan. Simultaneously, Odisha generates more chances (xG 1.26 vs. 0.74), averages 10.5 shots to 5.2 and 3.5 shots on target to 1.2, while Mohammedan has a higher xG against (2.65) and concedes an average of 3.2 goals per match. Second halves are decisive: Odisha scores on average 0.5 goals and collects an average of 2.0 points from second halves, whereas Mohammedan records 0.0 goals and only 0.4 points in second halves, which increases the likelihood of a home turnaround. As a result the most probable scenario is Mohammedan leading at the break and the match finishing level (HT/FT = 2/X — 35%), with other realistic outcomes being Mohammedan maintaining the lead through full-time (2/2 — 25%) or a home victory after a comeback (2/1 — 15%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Odisha FC | Mohammedan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Odisha FC is 172% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Odisha FC · 0.43 goals / match - Mohammedan
Odisha FC is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Odisha FC · 2.86 goals / match - Mohammedan
Odisha FC scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Mohammedan keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Mohammedan scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Odisha FC keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Odisha FC
Over / Under - Mohammedan
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Odisha FC is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Odisha FC · 0.43 pts / match - Mohammedan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Odisha FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mohammedan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Odisha FC
Mohammedan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| Odisha FC | Liga | Mohammedan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.53 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 71% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Odisha FC 0 - 2 - 0 Mohammedan. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Odisha FC vs Mohammedan?
The Indian Super League match finished Odisha FC 1:1 Mohammedan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Odisha FC and Mohammedan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Odisha FC won 0, Mohammedan won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Odisha FC vs Mohammedan?
Odisha FC score 1.17 goals per game on average and Mohammedan 0.43. The Indian Super League average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Odisha FC's matches and 43% of Mohammedan's.
What form are Odisha FC and Mohammedan in?
Over the last 5 games Odisha FC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mohammedan 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Odisha FC vs Mohammedan?
The statistical background for Odisha FC vs Mohammedan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.