Odra Bytom Odrzański vs ROW Rybnik: match statistics

Odra Bytom Odrzański have a clearly superior season record: they have won 4 of 6 matches and conceded just 1 goal, while ROW Rybnik have suffered 3 defeats in 6 games and conceded 10 goals. The hosts’ advantage is particularly evident at home, where they win 67% of their matches, score an average of 1.33 goals and concede just 0.33 goals per game, keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their appearances. ROW have lost both of their away matches, failing to score in either and conceding an average of 2.5 goals. At home, Odra create chances worth an average of 1.55 xG and register 4.67 shots on target per match, which should be enough to overcome the visitors’ very weak away defence. The hosts have also won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have lost 3 of their last 5, making an Odra victory the most likely outcome.

The strongest signal for BTTS - No comes from ROW Rybnik’s attacking data: away from home, the team has not scored a goal yet, and 100% of such matches ended without them finding the net. Odra have conceded just 0.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches and kept a clean sheet in 4 of 5 appearances, clearly limiting the visitors’ chances. The hosts should create opportunities, as they average 3.5 goals at home, generate an xG of 2.13 and record 8 shots on target per match, while ROW concede an average of 2.5 goals away from home. Although Odra’s seasonal BTTS rate stands at 75%, their last-5-match run has produced BTTS in just 0% of games, while ROW have recorded only 40%. A result in which Odra score but at least one team—most notably ROW—fails to find the net is therefore more likely. This means BTTS - No: at least one team does not score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither team scores.

Odra have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches and conceded only 0.2, clearly indicating a highly controlled profile in their current performances. ROW play in a more open manner, having both scored and conceded an average of 1.8 goals over the same period, but their xG against stands at just 0.48. The hosts average 1.56 xG, while ROW generate 1.37 xG, so the baseline scenario points to around 2.16 goals rather than a high-scoring game. In addition, Odra have kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 5 matches, limiting the visitors’ chances of significantly increasing the total. The strongest option is under 3.5, as this bet only loses if there are at least four goals, despite the hosts’ very low recent average of goals conceded.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an Odra victory at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while ROW recorded the same outcome in an identical proportion. Odra defended very well during this run, conceding an average of just 0.2 goals per match, whereas ROW lost 60% of their last five fixtures and allowed opponents an average of 1.8 goals. In the season data, the hosts won 75% of their matches, scored an average of 3.5 goals and generated an xG of 2.13, while the visitors had not won, failed to score and conceded an average of 2.5 goals. The second half is particularly significant: Odra scored an average of 2.5 goals after the break, while ROW conceded 2.0, which favours a turnaround after an initial draw. The 1/1 option remains a close alternative, as the hosts led at half-time in 50% of their season matches, but more cautious recent first-half performances support X/1.