Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec: match statistics
Odra Opole presents decidedly better home form with 45% wins and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, while Stal Mielec occupies the last place in the table with catastrophic away form (64% losses and a -13 balance). The hosts have won 6 matches this season and possess a solid shot conversion rate (9%), whereas the guests have lost as many as 14 matches, conceding an average of 2.45 goals per game on the road. The last five matches confirm the trend – Odra earned 4 points, while Stal earned only 1 point with straight losses and a draw. xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.58 vs 1.42 for the visitors, with a higher xGA for Stal at 2.02). Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of the game and Stal Mielec's desperate situation, an Odra Opole victory is the most probable scenario, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to 36% of such results in the hosts' home matches.
Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Odra Opole played Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Odra Opole: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Stal Mielec: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Odra Opole scores 0.95 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.14 and concedes 2.18. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Odra Opole 55%, Stal Mielec 73%. Over 2.5: Odra Opole 41%, Stal Mielec 68%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Odra Opole has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.46. Odra Opole: 12.0 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 12.6.
Match halves
Odra Opole: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.59. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Odra Opole: 46-60 (6 goals). Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Odra Opole presents decidedly better home form with 45% wins and a positive goal difference (+3) at their own stadium, while Stal Mielec occupies the last place in the table with catastrophic away form (64% losses and a -13 balance). The hosts have won 6 matches this season and possess a solid shot conversion rate (9%), whereas the guests have lost as many as 14 matches, conceding an average of 2.45 goals per game on the road. The last five matches confirm the trend – Odra earned 4 points, while Stal earned only 1 point with straight losses and a draw. xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.58 vs 1.42 for the visitors, with a higher xGA for Stal at 2.02). Considering the hosts' advantage in every aspect of the game and Stal Mielec's desperate situation, an Odra Opole victory is the most probable scenario, though a draw cannot be ruled out due to 36% of such results in the hosts' home matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Odra Opole | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Odra Opole is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Odra Opole · 0.2 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stal Mielec is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Odra Opole · 1.14 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Odra Opole is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Odra Opole · 2.18 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Odra Opole scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
Stal Mielec scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Odra Opole keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Odra Opole
Over / Under - Stal Mielec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Odra Opole is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Odra Opole · 1 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Odra Opole - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Odra Opole
Stal Mielec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Odra Opole | Liga | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.99 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 67% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 23% | 19% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 45% | 75% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Odra Opole 0 - 0 - 1 Stal Mielec. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec?
The 1. Liga match finished Odra Opole 0:2 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec?
Odra Opole score 0.95 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.14. The 1. Liga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Odra Opole's matches and 73% of Stal Mielec's.
What form are Odra Opole and Stal Mielec in?
Over the last 5 games Odra Opole have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stal Mielec 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Odra Opole vs Stal Mielec: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.