OFI vs Larissa: match statistics
OFI presents solid home form with 45% wins at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.55 goals per match in home clashes, while simultaneously maintaining 36% clean sheets. Larissa demonstrates poor away disposition with just 20% wins on foreign grounds and a negative goal difference (-4). The visitors have issues with efficiency (9% shot conversion) and concede an average of 1.4 goals away. Both teams present identical form in the last five matches (1.6 points per game), however, OFI's advantage on their own turf and Larissa's weaknesses in away matches speak for a home victory. Larissa's high draw percentage away (40%) suggests that a split of points is also a realistic scenario.
OFI vs Larissa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
OFI played Larissa in Super League (Greece). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
OFI: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Larissa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
OFI scores 1.29 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Larissa scores 0.95 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: OFI 43%, Larissa 55%. Over 2.5: OFI 76%, Larissa 36%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Larissa has higher xG: 1.23 vs 0.97. OFI: 8.7 shots per match, Larissa: 11.3.
Match halves
OFI: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.52. Larissa: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
OFI: 0-15 (8 goals). Larissa: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Super League: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
OFI presents solid home form with 45% wins at their own stadium and a positive goal difference (+3) in home matches. The hosts score an average of 1.55 goals per match in home clashes, while simultaneously maintaining 36% clean sheets. Larissa demonstrates poor away disposition with just 20% wins on foreign grounds and a negative goal difference (-4). The visitors have issues with efficiency (9% shot conversion) and concede an average of 1.4 goals away. Both teams present identical form in the last five matches (1.6 points per game), however, OFI's advantage on their own turf and Larissa's weaknesses in away matches speak for a home victory. Larissa's high draw percentage away (40%) suggests that a split of points is also a realistic scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| OFI | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
OFI is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - OFI · 1.6 pts / match - Larissa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
OFI is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - OFI · 0.95 goals / match - Larissa
Larissa is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.76 goals / match - OFI · 1.55 goals / match - Larissa
OFI scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Larissa keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
Larissa scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while OFI keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - OFI
Over / Under - Larissa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
OFI is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - OFI · 0.77 pts / match - Larissa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
OFI - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Larissa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
OFI
Larissa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).
Teams vs league
| OFI | Liga | Larissa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.05 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 49% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 30% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: OFI 1 - 0 - 0 Larissa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of OFI vs Larissa?
The Super League match finished OFI 3:0 Larissa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before OFI vs Larissa?
OFI score 1.29 goals per game on average and Larissa 0.95. The Super League average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 43% of OFI's matches and 55% of Larissa's.
What form are OFI and Larissa in?
Over the last 5 games OFI have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Larissa 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for OFI vs Larissa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.