Greece - Super LeaguePankritio StadioData current as of 21 October 2026

OFI vs PAOK: match statistics

Reasoning:

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OFI vs PAOK: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

OFI play PAOK in Super League (Greece). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Pankritio Stadio.

Current form

OFI: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. PAOK: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

OFI scores 1.57 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. PAOK scores 2.14 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: OFI 43%, PAOK 71%. Over 2.5: OFI 57%, PAOK 86%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

PAOK has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.08. OFI: 9.4 shots per match, PAOK: 14.0.

Match halves

OFI: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86. PAOK: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

OFI: 76-90+ (3 goals). PAOK: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Super League: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.60)
(3.70)
(1.66)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.57Goals scored / match2.14
OFIPAOK
1.57Goals conceded / match1.29
OFIPAOK
53%Average possession50%
OFIPAOK
3Shots on target / match4.14
OFIPAOK

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.43Shots per match14
OFIPAOK
3Shots on target4.14
OFIPAOK
16.7%Shot conversion15.3%
OFIPAOK
53%Possession50%
OFIPAOK
1.08xG for1.53
OFIPAOK
1.63xG against1.37
OFIPAOK

Shooting quality

OFI: Efficient finishingPAOK: Attacking
OFIPAOK
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.520.52

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PAOK is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - OFI · 1.8 pts / match - PAOK

OFI
WWDLL
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
PAOK
LWWLW
Season result split
71% W0% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-2
2.14 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 away
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PAOK is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1.57 goals / match - OFI · 2.14 goals / match - PAOK

PAOK is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.57 goals / match - OFI · 1.29 goals / match - PAOK

OFI scoring profile: very strong

OFI scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while PAOK keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

PAOK scoring profile: very strong

PAOK scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while OFI keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

11Goals scored (season)15
OFIPAOK
11Goals conceded (season)9
OFIPAOK
3.14Average goals in match3.43
OFIPAOK
8Goals scored (last 5)9
OFIPAOK
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
OFIPAOK

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal100%
OFIPAOK
57%2 goals71%
OFIPAOK
14%3 goals29%
OFIPAOK
0%4 goals14%
OFIPAOK

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal71%
OFIPAOK
57%2 goals29%
OFIPAOK
29%3 goals29%
OFIPAOK
14%4 goals0%
OFIPAOK

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time29%
OFIPAOK
14%BTTS in both halves0%
OFIPAOK
14%Scored in both halves43%
OFIPAOK

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
OFIPAOK
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
OFIPAOK
40%BTTS - last 580%
OFIPAOK

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
OFIPAOK
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time86%
OFIPAOK
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
OFIPAOK

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
OFIPAOK
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time71%
OFIPAOK
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
OFIPAOK

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

PAOK is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - OFI · 1.71 pts / match - PAOK

OFI - half-time state
29% leading29% draw43% trailing
PAOK - half-time state
43% leading43% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)1.71
OFIPAOK
0.71Goals scored (1st half)1.14
OFIPAOK
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
OFIPAOK
1.43Average goals (1st half)1.71
OFIPAOK
43%Clean sheet before half-time57%
OFIPAOK
57%No goal before half-time29%
OFIPAOK

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1.71
OFIPAOK
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)1
OFIPAOK
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
OFIPAOK
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.71
OFIPAOK
43%Clean sheet after half-time43%
OFIPAOK
43%No goal after half-time29%
OFIPAOK

OFI - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
8
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PAOK - second-half results

43% W43% D14% L
12
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

OFI - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
PAOK - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

OFI
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

PAOK
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
8
1
31-45
0
4
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
122%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
86%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

OFI

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.55
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.55
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
151%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

PAOK

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
206%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
78%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Super League).

Teams vs league

OFILigaPAOK
Average goals in match▲ 3.142.69▲ 3.43
Both teams scored▼ 43%50%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 57%48%▲ 86%
Clean sheets▲ 43%28%• 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%73%▲ 86%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%77%▲ 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+59%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): OFI 0 - 0 - 2 PAOK. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

PAOK Thessaloniki FC
3 : 0
OFI FC
OFI FC
1 : 2
PAOK Thessaloniki FC

FAQ

When do OFI and PAOK play?

OFI face PAOK on 25 October 2026 in Super League at Pankritio Stadio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between OFI and PAOK?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches OFI won 0, PAOK won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before OFI vs PAOK?

OFI score 1.57 goals per game on average and PAOK 2.14. The Super League average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of OFI's matches and 71% of PAOK's.

What form are OFI and PAOK in?

Over the last 5 games OFI have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and PAOK 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for OFI vs PAOK?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.