OFI vs Volos NFC: match statistics

OFI sit 9th, while Volos NFC are only 14th, giving the hosts a clear edge in the standings. In their last five matches, OFI have earned 4 points from 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, whereas Volos have managed just 3 points after 1 win and 4 losses. The hosts scored 8 goals during this period, one more than their opponents, with their average of 1.6 goals per match looking better than Volos’ 1.4. However, both defences are vulnerable to mistakes: OFI conceded 11 goals in five matches, while Volos shipped as many as 14, averaging 2.8 per game. Home advantage and the visitors’ poorer run favour OFI, although the high number of goals conceded limits confidence in the pick.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, which is a very strong signal for goals at both ends. OFI averaged 1.6 goals scored during this period but conceded as many as 2.2, while Volos scored 1.4 goals and allowed their opponents 2.8 goals per match. Their attacking potential is confirmed by xG: 1.24 for OFI and 1.48 for Volos, while their average xG conceded stands at 1.56 and 1.66 respectively. Across five matches, OFI scored 8 and conceded 11 goals, while Volos scored 7 and conceded 14, meaning both defences regularly allow opponents to create chances. The lack of complete season data limits the confidence of the prediction, but their current goalscoring form strongly supports the BTTS - Yes scenario.

OFI’s last five matches produced an average of 3.8 goals, with the team scoring 8 but conceding as many as 11. Volos’ games were even more open: the team scored 7 goals and allowed 14, resulting in a total of 4.2 goals per match. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of OFI’s last matches and in all 5 of Volos’ most recent fixtures, while both teams scored in 80% of those games. The xG figures remain slightly lower than the actual goal tallies but still support an attacking scenario: OFI recorded 1.24 xG and Volos 1.48 xG, while their opponents were allowed 1.56 and 1.66 xG, respectively. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the high number of goals conceded by both sides significantly reduces the risk of a match finishing with no more than one goal.

The strongest signal in favour of OFI comes from the first halves: the hosts were leading at the break in 40% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for Volos. The visitors went into half-time trailing in as many as 80% of their matches during this period, while their first-half goal record stood at 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. OFI have also lacked consistency, but they average 0.8 goals after the break and have a better second-half record than Volos, who lost the second half in 60% of their recent matches. Both teams have conceded heavily—2.2 and 2.8 goals per game, respectively, across their last five fixtures—but home advantage and Volos’ poorer form support the HT/FT 1/1 outcome, with OFI expected to lead at the break and maintain that advantage until full-time.