OFK Pirin vs Belasitsa: match statistics
OFK Pirin vs Belasitsa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
OFK Pirin played Belasitsa in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
OFK Pirin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Belasitsa: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
OFK Pirin scores 1.26 and concedes 1.22 goals per match. Belasitsa scores 0.61 and concedes 1.87. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: OFK Pirin 61%, Belasitsa 39%. Over 2.5: OFK Pirin 52%, Belasitsa 39%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
OFK Pirin has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.18. OFK Pirin: 11.2 shots per match, Belasitsa: 9.1.
Match halves
OFK Pirin: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.65. Belasitsa: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.22.
Goals by minute
OFK Pirin: 61-75 (7 goals). Belasitsa: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I tip a home win based on OFK Pirin's home statistical advantages. Pirin show higher average xG (1.71 vs 0.88) and better shot and possession metrics, translating to game control. Visitors Belasitsa have poor away offense (0.45 goals), high GA on average (1.91) and a large share of matches without scoring. Recent forms and table gap further favor the hosts. Therefore highest probability is a home victory, moderate chance of draw and low chance of an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Moderately high BTTS probability: both teams have low CS rates (OFK Pirin 17%, Belasitsa 18%) and relatively high season conceded averages (1.83 and 1.91), favoring goals from both sides. L5 form: Belasitsa 100% BTTS, OFK Pirin 60% BTTS, signaling strong short-term mutual scoring. OFK Pirin’s xG_for 1.55 and SOT 5.67 show chance creation; Belasitsa concedes heavily (xG_against 1.99, ga_l5=14). Season BTTS ratios (42% and 36%) and league BTTS 45% are moderate, but recent forms and defensive susceptibility support BTTS. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stats indicate a moderately offensive fixture: OFK Pirin has high xG (1.55) while opponent defense concedes heavily (xG conceded 1.99); both teams regularly concede this season. Over1.5 percentages (67% and 73%) and high Over0.5 imply at least two goals are likely. Despite low avg scored goals, divergence between xG and actual finishing suggests possible uptick in attacking efficiency here. Final expected goals ~1.20 home and ~0.95 away (total 2.15), making Over 1.5 the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT statistics clearly show OFK Pirin practically never lead at Half-Time (leadingAtHT_home 0%) and are often trailing at the break, while Belasitsa have a clearer share of HT draws/leads. Both teams have very low season win percentages and relatively high draw shares, favoring a draw FT. Additionally high HT draw rates for both sides and moderate BTTS point to low-scoring, undecided matches. OFK Pirin improve somewhat in the second half but lack the consistency to overturn results. Based on these signals the strongest and safest bet is draw at Half-Time and draw at Full-Time (X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| OFK Pirin | Belasitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 70% | 55% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
OFK Pirin is 400% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - OFK Pirin · 0.2 pts / match - Belasitsa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
OFK Pirin is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - OFK Pirin · 0.61 goals / match - Belasitsa
OFK Pirin is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.22 goals / match - OFK Pirin · 1.87 goals / match - Belasitsa
OFK Pirin scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Belasitsa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Belasitsa scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while OFK Pirin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - OFK Pirin
Over / Under - Belasitsa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
OFK Pirin is 105% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - OFK Pirin · 0.74 pts / match - Belasitsa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
OFK Pirin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Belasitsa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 9%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
OFK Pirin
Belasitsa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).
Teams vs league
| OFK Pirin | Liga | Belasitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.47 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 43% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 32% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- OFK PirinGoalAleksandar Bliznakov
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: OFK Pirin 1 - 0 - 0 Belasitsa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of OFK Pirin vs Belasitsa?
The Second League match finished OFK Pirin 1:0 Belasitsa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before OFK Pirin vs Belasitsa?
OFK Pirin score 1.26 goals per game on average and Belasitsa 0.61. The Second League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 61% of OFK Pirin's matches and 39% of Belasitsa's.
What form are OFK Pirin and Belasitsa in?
Over the last 5 games OFK Pirin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Belasitsa 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for OFK Pirin vs Belasitsa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for OFK Pirin vs Belasitsa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.