Ogre United vs Auda: match statistics
Ogre United vs Auda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ogre United played Auda in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ogre United: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Auda: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ogre United scores 0.67 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Auda scores 1.67 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ogre United 67%, Auda 67%. Over 2.5: Ogre United 33%, Auda 67%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Auda has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.02. Ogre United: 9.0 shots per match, Auda: 13.2.
Match halves
Ogre United: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. Auda: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Ogre United: 46-60 (4 goals). Auda: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win — Auda holds a clear advantage both offensively and defensively. The visitors average 1.67 goals scored away and concede just 0.33 per match, while Ogre United at home score 0.75 and concede 1.25. Auda averages 12.67 shots and 4.33 on target per match with a 13% conversion rate versus the hosts' 9.75 shots, 1.75 on target and 8% conversion. Additionally, Auda’s average xG per match is 1.40 compared to Ogre’s 1.08 and they have a lower xG against (1.02 vs 1.58), indicating higher-quality chance creation and greater defensive resilience. In the last 5 fixtures Auda has won 3 and averages 1.8 points per game, whereas Ogre have not won any of their last 5 and average only 0.4 points per game. Furthermore, Auda keep clean sheets in 67% of away matches and have 0% of games without scoring, while the hosts have 0% clean sheets and 25% of matches without a goal; therefore the visitors appear to be the favorites for this tie.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes — Ogre United has a season BTTS rate of 100% and 80% in the last 5 matches, conceding on average 2.0 goals over the season and 1.4 in the last 5. Auda has 67% clean sheets and concedes only 0.33 goals seasonally, but in the last 5 matches had BTTS 60% and conceded 1.2 goals on average, indicating recent vulnerability. Look at xG: Ogre xG_for 1.68 vs Auda 1.40 and xG_against 1.58 vs 1.02, and shots on target 5.33 for Ogre vs 4.33 for Auda — Ogre creates and allows chances. The league has an overall BTTS 63% and average goals 2.83, and home advantage is non-existent (-31%), which further supports goals from both sides. Based on this I estimate BTTS 70% and No BTTS 30%, therefore the pick is 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams average 1.67 goals scored this season each (3.34 combined), versus a league average of 2.83 goals per match. The xG model projects 1.35 expected goals for Ogre United (home attack 1.68 xG and Auda concedes 1.02 xG) and 1.49 for Auda (Auda attack 1.40 xG and hosts concede 1.58 xG), totaling ~2.84 expected goals. Season percentages show the home side at 100% of matches over 1.5 goals and the away side at 67%; combined with xG and the 3.34 total this constitutes a very strong signal for Over 1.5. The 2.5 line is more balanced: hosts 100% over 2.5, guests only 33%, and the last 5 matches show over 2.5 in 40–60% of cases, so I rate Over 2.5 at about 66%. Over 3.5 looks unlikely (seasonOver35: hosts 33%, guests 0%), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is '2/2' — Auda leading at Half-Time and ultimately winning. Auda were leading at the break in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and average 1.0 first-half goals with 0.0 conceded. The hosts concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, while Auda concede only 0.33 goals per match, giving the visitors a clear defensive advantage. In the last 5 matches Ogre United were trailing at half-time in 80% of cases, and Auda won 60% of their last 5 fixtures compared to 0% for the hosts. Considering Auda’s 100% win rate this season and the visitors’ 67% clean sheets, Auda maintaining their lead through to Full-Time (2/2) is the strongest signal from the data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | Auda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 20% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Auda is 350% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ogre United · 1.8 pts / match - Auda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Auda is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.67 goals / match - Auda
Auda is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.17 goals / match - Auda
Ogre United scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Auda keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Auda scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ogre United
Over / Under - Auda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Auda is 558% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.33 pts / match - Ogre United · 2.17 pts / match - Auda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Auda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ogre United
Auda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | Auda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.81 | • 2.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 19% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 84% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 84% | • 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs Auda?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 1:1 Auda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs Auda?
Ogre United score 0.67 goals per game on average and Auda 1.67. The Virsliga average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Ogre United's matches and 67% of Auda's.
What form are Ogre United and Auda in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Auda 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs Auda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.