Ogre United vs Grobiņa: match statistics
Ogre United vs Grobiņa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ogre United play Grobiņa in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 25 May 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Salaspils sporta nama stadions. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Ogre United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Grobiņa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ogre United scores 0.91 and concedes 2.57 goals per match. Grobiņa scores 0.65 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ogre United 61%, Grobiņa 35%. Over 2.5: Ogre United 61%, Grobiņa 22%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Grobiņa has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.13. Ogre United: 10.0 shots per match, Grobiņa: 9.3.
Match halves
Ogre United: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.61. Grobiņa: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Ogre United: 46-60 (6 goals). Grobiņa: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ogre United is in very poor form: they have lost 5 of their last 5 matches, earned 0 points in the last five fixtures (avg. 0.0 pts/match) and conceded 20 goals in those five games (avg. 4.0 per match). At home the hosts average 1.00 goal scored and concede 1.57, with average xG for 1.05 and xG against 1.83, while Grobiņa on the road scores 0.83 goals on average, has xG for 1.17 and xG against 1.34. The visitors register more shots on target (3.17 per match vs 2.0 for the hosts) and have a lower share of goalless games (17% vs 29%), suggesting a better ability to convert chances despite a similar number of attempts (9.33 vs 9.71 shots per match). Additionally, the hosts have kept 0% clean sheets at home and have not won any home matches this season (0% wins), whereas the visitors have 33% clean sheets and 33% wins away, providing Grobiņa with a mental and defensive edge. Considering the hosts' five consecutive defeats, higher away xG and average shots on target for the visitors, and Grobiņa's lower rate of goalless matches, I tip the visitors to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ogre United | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ogre United is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Ogre United · 0.8 pts / match - Grobiņa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ogre United is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Ogre United · 0.65 goals / match - Grobiņa
Grobiņa is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.57 goals / match - Ogre United · 1.52 goals / match - Grobiņa
Ogre United scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
Grobiņa scores in 48% of matches (11 of 23 matches), while Ogre United keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ogre United
Over / Under — Grobiņa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grobiņa is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.52 pts / match - Ogre United · 1.04 pts / match - Grobiņa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ogre United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ogre United
Grobiņa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Ogre United | Liga | Grobiņa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.48 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 56% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 55% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 84% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ogre United 0 - 1 - 0 Grobiņa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
The Virsliga match finished Ogre United 1:1 Grobiņa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
Ogre United score 0.91 goals per game on average and Grobiņa 0.65. The Virsliga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Ogre United's matches and 35% of Grobiņa's.
What form are Ogre United and Grobiņa in?
Over the last 5 games Ogre United have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Grobiņa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ogre United vs Grobiņa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.