OH Leuven vs FCV Dender EH: match statistics
OH Leuven are clearly stronger at home than FCV Dender EH are on the road. The hosts have a higher xG in home matches (1.54) than the visitors in away games (1.27), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Dender have a very poor away record with 50% of matches lost and just 17% won, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. OH Leuven, despite moderate form, have an advantage in possession and better shot conversion at their stadium. The difference in goal difference also favors the hosts (-1 vs -8). Considering all statistics, OH Leuven have a realistic chance of taking three points, although their low home win rate (17%) and recent form call for caution, hence a significant probability of a draw.
OH Leuven vs FCV Dender EH: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
OH Leuven played FCV Dender EH in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
OH Leuven: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. FCV Dender EH: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
OH Leuven scores 1.00 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. FCV Dender EH scores 0.75 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: OH Leuven 50%, FCV Dender EH 54%. Over 2.5: OH Leuven 46%, FCV Dender EH 46%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
OH Leuven has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.26. OH Leuven: 13.6 shots per match, FCV Dender EH: 10.7.
Match halves
OH Leuven: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.58. FCV Dender EH: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
OH Leuven: 61-75 (6 goals). FCV Dender EH: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
OH Leuven are clearly stronger at home than FCV Dender EH are on the road. The hosts have a higher xG in home matches (1.54) than the visitors in away games (1.27), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Dender have a very poor away record with 50% of matches lost and just 17% won, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. OH Leuven, despite moderate form, have an advantage in possession and better shot conversion at their stadium. The difference in goal difference also favors the hosts (-1 vs -8). Considering all statistics, OH Leuven have a realistic chance of taking three points, although their low home win rate (17%) and recent form call for caution, hence a significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| OH Leuven | FCV Dender EH | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
OH Leuven is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - OH Leuven · 1 pts / match - FCV Dender EH
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
OH Leuven is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - OH Leuven · 0.75 goals / match - FCV Dender EH
OH Leuven is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - OH Leuven · 1.54 goals / match - FCV Dender EH
OH Leuven scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while FCV Dender EH keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 matches).
FCV Dender EH scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while OH Leuven keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - OH Leuven
Over / Under - FCV Dender EH
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FCV Dender EH is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.92 pts / match - OH Leuven · 1 pts / match - FCV Dender EH
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
OH Leuven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FCV Dender EH - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
OH Leuven
FCV Dender EH
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| OH Leuven | Liga | FCV Dender EH | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 45% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: OH Leuven 1 - 0 - 0 FCV Dender EH. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of OH Leuven vs FCV Dender EH?
The Pro League match finished OH Leuven 3:2 FCV Dender EH. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before OH Leuven vs FCV Dender EH?
OH Leuven score 1.00 goals per game on average and FCV Dender EH 0.75. The Pro League average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of OH Leuven's matches and 54% of FCV Dender EH's.
What form are OH Leuven and FCV Dender EH in?
Over the last 5 games OH Leuven have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and FCV Dender EH 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for OH Leuven vs FCV Dender EH?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for OH Leuven vs FCV Dender EH: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.