OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen: match statistics
KV Mechelen shows a significantly better away form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), while OH Leuven performs poorly at home, winning only 18% of their home matches. The hosts occupy a distant 15th place in the table and have a negative goal difference (-1) at their own stadium, conceding an average of 1.18 goals per match. KV Mechelen boasts a higher shot conversion rate (13% compared to the hosts' 8%) and better game control with 49% possession. The recent form of both teams is similar (averaging 1 point per match in the last 5 games), but the visitors' significant advantage in away matches throughout the season speaks in their favor. Considering all statistics, KV Mechelen has a realistic chance of securing three points, although their weaker form in recent weeks and defensive difficulties in away matches (conceding an average of 1.09 goals) do not allow for a decisive advantage.
OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
OH Leuven played KV Mechelen in Pro League (Belgium). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
OH Leuven: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. KV Mechelen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
OH Leuven scores 0.86 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. KV Mechelen scores 1.18 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: OH Leuven 45%, KV Mechelen 64%. Over 2.5: OH Leuven 41%, KV Mechelen 32%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
OH Leuven has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.28. OH Leuven: 13.5 shots per match, KV Mechelen: 10.5.
Match halves
OH Leuven: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.55. KV Mechelen: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
OH Leuven: 76-90+ (6 goals). KV Mechelen: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Pro League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
KV Mechelen shows a significantly better away form with a 45% win rate and a positive goal difference (+2), while OH Leuven performs poorly at home, winning only 18% of their home matches. The hosts occupy a distant 15th place in the table and have a negative goal difference (-1) at their own stadium, conceding an average of 1.18 goals per match. KV Mechelen boasts a higher shot conversion rate (13% compared to the hosts' 8%) and better game control with 49% possession. The recent form of both teams is similar (averaging 1 point per match in the last 5 games), but the visitors' significant advantage in away matches throughout the season speaks in their favor. Considering all statistics, KV Mechelen has a realistic chance of securing three points, although their weaker form in recent weeks and defensive difficulties in away matches (conceding an average of 1.09 goals) do not allow for a decisive advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| OH Leuven | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KV Mechelen is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - OH Leuven · 1.18 goals / match - KV Mechelen
KV Mechelen is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - OH Leuven · 1.09 goals / match - KV Mechelen
OH Leuven scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while KV Mechelen keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
KV Mechelen scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while OH Leuven keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - OH Leuven
Over / Under - KV Mechelen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KV Mechelen is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / match - OH Leuven · 1.82 pts / match - KV Mechelen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
OH Leuven - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KV Mechelen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 36%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
OH Leuven
KV Mechelen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Pro League).
Teams vs league
| OH Leuven | Liga | KV Mechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.23 | 2.51 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 72% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 59% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: OH Leuven 0 - 1 - 0 KV Mechelen. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?
The Pro League match finished OH Leuven 2:2 KV Mechelen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?
OH Leuven score 0.86 goals per game on average and KV Mechelen 1.18. The Pro League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 45% of OH Leuven's matches and 64% of KV Mechelen's.
What form are OH Leuven and KV Mechelen in?
Over the last 5 games OH Leuven have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and KV Mechelen 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen?
The statistical background for OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.