Japan - J2 LeagueŌita Bank DomeData current as of 14 October 2026

Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Oita Trinita play Albirex Niigata in J2 League (Japan). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Ōita Bank Dome.

Current form

Oita Trinita: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Albirex Niigata: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Oita Trinita scores 1.10 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Albirex Niigata scores 1.40 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Oita Trinita 60%, Albirex Niigata 60%. Over 2.5: Oita Trinita 30%, Albirex Niigata 60%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Albirex Niigata has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.23. Oita Trinita: 10.7 shots per match, Albirex Niigata: 11.2.

Match halves

Oita Trinita: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70. Albirex Niigata: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.

Goals by minute

Oita Trinita: 46-60 (3 goals). Albirex Niigata: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

J2 League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.63)
(2.95)
(2.51)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
1.1Goals scored / match1.4
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0.8Goals conceded / match1.4
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
47%Average possession44%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
3.2Shots on target / match3.8
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.7Shots per match11.2
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
3.2Shots on target3.8
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
10.3%Shot conversion12.5%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
47%Possession44%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
1.23xG for1.34
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
1.47xG against1.68
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

Shooting quality

Oita Trinita: BalancedAlbirex Niigata: Counter-attacking
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
Accuracy (shots on target)30%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Albirex Niigata is 22% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Oita Trinita · 2.2 pts / match - Albirex Niigata

Oita Trinita
DDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
30% W50% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-2
1.40 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Albirex Niigata
WWDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W20% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-2
2.00 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Albirex Niigata is 27% better for: goals scored per match.

1.1 goals / match - Oita Trinita · 1.4 goals / match - Albirex Niigata

Oita Trinita is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Oita Trinita · 1.4 goals / match - Albirex Niigata

Oita Trinita scoring profile: strong

Oita Trinita scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Albirex Niigata keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

Albirex Niigata scoring profile: very strong

Albirex Niigata scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Oita Trinita keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).

11Goals scored (season)14
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
8Goals conceded (season)14
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
1.9Average goals in match2.8
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal80%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
30%2 goals50%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
10%3 goals10%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
10%4 goals0%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0%2 goals30%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0%3 goals10%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0%4 goals10%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time40%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0%BTTS in both halves20%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
20%Scored in both halves40%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
80%BTTS - last 580%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Albirex Niigata is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / match - Oita Trinita · 1.2 pts / match - Albirex Niigata

Oita Trinita - half-time state
20% leading50% draw30% trailing
Albirex Niigata - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per match (1st half)1.2
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0.6
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0.8Average goals (1st half)1.2
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
60%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
80%No goal before half-time50%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

After half-time (2nd half)

1.7Points per match (2nd half)1.7
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.8
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
1.1Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
60%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata
40%No goal after half-time30%
Oita TrinitaAlbirex Niigata

Oita Trinita - second-half results

40% W50% D10% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Albirex Niigata - second-half results

40% W50% D10% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Oita Trinita - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.41.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Albirex Niigata - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Oita Trinita
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Albirex Niigata
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
4
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Oita Trinita

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Albirex Niigata

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).

Teams vs league

Oita TrinitaLigaAlbirex Niigata
Average goals in match▼ 1.902.60▲ 2.80
Both teams scored▲ 60%53%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 30%49%▲ 60%
Clean sheets▼ 20%27%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%68%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▼ 70%79%• 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Oita Trinita and Albirex Niigata play?

Oita Trinita face Albirex Niigata on 17 October 2026 in J2 League at Ōita Bank Dome. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata?

Oita Trinita score 1.10 goals per game on average and Albirex Niigata 1.40. The J2 League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Oita Trinita's matches and 60% of Albirex Niigata's.

What form are Oita Trinita and Albirex Niigata in?

Over the last 5 games Oita Trinita have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Albirex Niigata 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata?

The statistical background for Oita Trinita vs Albirex Niigata — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.